FFC Lahti Title Chances 50/50
Lost to FFC Mariehamn 0-1, title odds down 8.6 to 66.4%
28 points 7-7-8
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 8/31 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Ykkönen | 100.0* | Average seed |
| FFC Lahti 0 FFC Mariehamn 1 | -10.8 | -0.3 | ||||
| FFC VPS 3 FFC HIFK 2 | +5.1 | +0.1 | ||||
| FFC SJK 1 FFC Kups 3 | +3.8 | +0.1 | ||||
| FFC HJK 2 FFC RoPS 2 | +1.2 | +0.0 | ||||
| FFC KPV 0 FFC Honka 1 | *+0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Ykkönen | 100.0* | Average seed |
| FFC Lahti vs FFC RoPS | +18.2-0.2-18.1 | NoNo+0.0 | +0.5-0.0-0.5 | |||
| FFC HIFK vs FFC KPV | -6.3+1.6+5.2 | NoNo+0.0 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| FFC SJK vs FFC VPS | -4.6+0.7+4.1 | No-0.0+0.0 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the FFC Lahti finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA EL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | Ykkönen | Count | |||||
| 43 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | No | 100 | No | 101,055 | ||||||||||
| 41 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | No | 100 | 0 | No | 344,651 | |||||||||
| 40 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | No | 96 | 4 | No | 492,385 | |||||||||
| 39 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | No | 96 | 4 | No | 484,304 | |||||||||
| 38 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.9 | % | No | 85 | 15 | 0 | No | 1,379,020 | |||||||
| 37 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 98.6 | No | 65 | 34 | 1 | No | 980,563 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.8 | No | 80 | 20 | 0 | No | 339,878 | |||||||||
| 36 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 96.7 | No | 55 | 42 | 3 | 0 | No | 1,450,767 | |||||||
| 35 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 85.2 | No | 28 | 57 | 15 | 0 | No | 2,066,500 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 93.9 | No | 43 | 50 | 6 | 0 | No | 119,499 | ||||||||
| 34 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 59.2 | No | 8 | 51 | 38 | 3 | No | 980,553 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 73.2 | No | 16 | 57 | 26 | 1 | No | 679,221 | ||||||||
| 33 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 42.8 | No | 4 | 39 | 50 | 8 | No | 1,449,165 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 60.9 | No | 9 | 52 | 36 | 3 | No | 16,573 | ||||||||
| 32 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 16.2 | No | 0 | 16 | 59 | 25 | No | 1,378,135 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 25.8 | No | 1 | 25 | 58 | 16 | No | 119,252 | ||||||||
| 31 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 2.9 | No | 0 | 3 | 43 | 54 | 0 | No | 490,469 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 6.3 | No | 0 | 6 | 51 | 42 | 0 | No | 339,182 | |||||||
| 30 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.7 | No | 1 | 30 | 68 | 1 | No | 483,675 | |||||||
| 29 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 10 | 84 | 6 | No | 344,527 | |||||||
| 28 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | Out | No | 1 | 78 | 20 | 0 | 0.3 | % | 100,970 | ||||||
| Total: | 66.4 | % | No | 36 | 30 | 22 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 14,140,344 | ||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 8/31 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| FFC Lahti 0 FFC Mariehamn 1 | +0.3 | |
| FFC SJK 1 FFC Kups 3 | -0.1 | |
| FFC VPS 3 FFC HIFK 2 | -0.1 | |
| FFC HJK 2 FFC RoPS 2 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| FFC Lahti vs FFC RoPS | -0.5+0.0+0.5 | |
| FFC SJK vs FFC VPS | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
| FFC HIFK vs FFC KPV | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| 43 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | ||||||||||||
| 41 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 40 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 96 | 4 | |||||||||||
| 39 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 96 | 4 | |||||||||||
| 38 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 85 | 15 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 37 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 65 | 34 | 1 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 80 | 20 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 36 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 55 | 42 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||
| 35 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 28 | 57 | 15 | 0 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 43 | 50 | 6 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 34 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 8 | 51 | 38 | 3 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 16 | 57 | 26 | 1 | ||||||||||
| 33 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 4 | 39 | 50 | 8 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 9 | 52 | 36 | 3 | ||||||||||
| 32 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 16 | 59 | 25 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 1 | 25 | 58 | 16 | ||||||||||
| 31 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 3 | 43 | 54 | 0 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 6 | 51 | 42 | 0 | |||||||||
| 30 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 1 | 30 | 68 | 1 | |||||||||
| 29 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0 | 10 | 84 | 6 | |||||||||
| 28 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 1 | 78 | 20 | 0 | |||||||||
| Total: | 36 | 30 | 22 | 11 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
Updated Sunday, 2019-9-1 2:39 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
