Whitby Town Title Chances 2014 50/50Tied Frickley 1-1, title odds down 0.08 to 0.08% 32 points 8-8-8 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | +0.1 | | +0.6 | | -3.1 | | +1.0 | | Frickley 1 Whitby 1 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | -0.2 | | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | | | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 | | | | | *+0.1 | | -0.1 | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | | | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | | | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | | | -0.1 | | -0.4 | | | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Buxton vs Whitby | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | -0.6-0.2+0.7 | | +1.4+0.1-1.5 | | -0.8-0.2+1.0 | | Whitby vs Blyth | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | +0.7-0.2-0.5 | | -1.5+0.1+1.5 | | +1.0-0.2-0.9 | | Workington vs Skelmersdale | | | | | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | | | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | | | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | | | Belper vs Workington | | | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | | | | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | | | Grantham vs Frickley | | | | | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | | | | Halesowen vs Marine | | | | | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Matlock Town vs Belper | | | | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | | Frickley vs Nantwich | | | | | *+0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Whitby finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 80 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 95.1 | % | 96.3 | % | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 328 | | 78 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 92.3 | | 92.3 | | 92 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13 | | 77 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 80.0 | | 80.0 | | 80 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5 | | 76 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 72.4 | | 79.3 | | 72 | 24 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29 | | 75 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 66.1 | | 74.2 | | 66 | 34 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 62 | | 74 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 59.0 | | 68.8 | | 59 | 35 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 144 | * | 73 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 48.7 | | 61.4 | | 49 | 38 | 12 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 347 | | 72 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 33.2 | | 49.9 | | 33 | 45 | 20 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 690 | * | 71 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 26.5 | | 44.8 | | 26 | 42 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,213 | * | 70 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 17.1 | | 37.8 | | 17 | 39 | 32 | 11 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,338 | * | 69 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 7.9 | | 30.8 | | 8 | 31 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,997 | * | 68 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 4.1 | | 27.7 | | 4 | 21 | 36 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,832 | * | 67 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 1.5 | | 24.8 | | 1 | 11 | 30 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,190 | * | 66 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.4 | | 21.9 | | 0 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17,054 | * | 65 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.1 | | 18.0 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,888 | * | 64 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 12.7 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 37,460 | * | 63 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 7.3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 51,320 | * | 62 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 3.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 69,617 | * | 61 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 1.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 91,013 | * | 60 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 112,907 | * | 59 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 137,474 | * | 58 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 160,508 | * | 57 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 181,000 | * | 56 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 199,796 | * | 55 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 210,304 | * | 54 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 214,904 | * | 53 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 125,549 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 87,926 | * | 52 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 117,850 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 36 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 86,486 | * | 51 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 187,256 | * | 50 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 167,455 | * | 49 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.2 | | 143,292 | * | 48 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | 0.8 | | 118,677 | * | 47 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 2.9 | | 93,773 | * | 46 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.1 | | 71,624 | * | 45 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18.4 | | 52,382 | * | 44 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 33.0 | | 36,469 | * | 43 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 51.5 | | 24,322 | * | 42 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 36 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 69.6 | | 15,442 | * | 41 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 34 | 16 | 2 | 82.2 | | 9,169 | * | 40 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 24 | 37 | 26 | 6 | 91.9 | | 5,144 | * | 39 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 33 | 12 | 96.3 | | 2,636 | * | 38 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 27 | 44 | 19 | 99.0 | | 1,243 | * | 37 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 20 | 48 | 27 | Yes | 546 | * | 36 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 12 | 43 | 44 | Yes | 227 | * | 35 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 38 | 54 | Yes | 79 | * | 34 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 28 | 69 | Yes | 32 | | 33 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | 83 | Yes | 6 | | 32 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 11 | 88 | Yes | 326 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.1 | % | 1.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | % | 2,884,344 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |