Whitby Town Title Chances 2014Tied Frickley 1-1, title odds down 0.01 to 0.01% 32 points 8-8-8 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | +0.2 | | -1.3 | | +0.8 | | Frickley 1 Whitby 1 | -0.1 | | | | -0.2 | | Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 | | | | | -0.1 | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | | | -0.1 | | | | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | | | -0.1 | | | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | | | | | -0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Buxton vs Whitby | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | | +0.3-0.1-0.4 | | -0.5-0.0+0.9 | | Whitby vs Blyth | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | -0.4-0.0+0.3 | | +0.8-0.1-0.6 | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | | | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | | | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | Belper vs Workington | | | +0.1*-0.0-0.0 | | | | Grantham vs Ilkeston | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | | | +0.1*-0.0-0.0 | | | | Grantham vs Frickley | | | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | | | Halesowen vs Marine | | | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Whitby finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 80 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 82.7 | % | 87.0 | % | 83 | 17 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 921 | | 78 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3 | | 77 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 80.0 | | 80.0 | | 80 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5 | | 76 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 60.0 | | 70.0 | | 60 | 25 | 10 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20 | | 75 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 24.0 | | 42.7 | | 24 | 46 | 29 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 96 | | 74 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 22.4 | | 41.7 | | 22 | 46 | 25 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 192 | * | 73 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 10.4 | | 32.7 | | 10 | 43 | 33 | 13 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 444 | | 72 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 7.4 | | 30.5 | | 7 | 27 | 43 | 18 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 988 | * | 71 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 3.1 | | 27.0 | | 3 | 23 | 38 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,854 | * | 70 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 1.4 | | 25.2 | | 1 | 11 | 32 | 36 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,101 | * | 69 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.4 | | 23.1 | | 0 | 5 | 24 | 36 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,044 | * | 68 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | 20.4 | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,244 | * | 67 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 16.0 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,063 | * | 66 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 10.9 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 33,434 | * | 65 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 6.2 | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 51,968 | * | 64 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 2.8 | | | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 78,664 | * | 63 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 1.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 111,195 | * | 62 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 0.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 155,317 | * | 61 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 209,221 | * | 60 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 267,864 | * | 59 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 335,671 | * | 58 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 405,688 | * | 57 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 470,089 | * | 56 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 532,653 | * | 55 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 34 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 349,786 | * | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 229,165 | * | 54 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 37 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 608,513 | * | 53 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 370,401 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 35 | 37 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 248,929 | * | 52 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 44 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 607,680 | * | 51 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 573,536 | * | 50 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 526,311 | * | 49 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 49 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 461,462 | * | 48 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 50 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 390,531 | * | 47 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 34 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 318,123 | * | 46 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 36 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 246,617 | * | 45 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 25 | 42 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.5 | | 184,556 | * | 44 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 38 | 33 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 1.8 | | 132,174 | * | 43 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | 5.0 | | 89,007 | * | 42 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 19 | 37 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | 11.9 | | 57,156 | * | 41 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23.0 | | 35,285 | * | 40 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 39.6 | | 19,920 | * | 39 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 56.9 | | 10,500 | * | 38 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 74.3 | | 5,315 | * | 37 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 17 | 4 | 87.1 | | 2,441 | * | 36 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 24 | 37 | 27 | 6 | 94.3 | | 984 | * | 35 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 15 | 33 | 37 | 11 | 96.5 | | 342 | * | 34 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 28 | 42 | 26 | Yes | 108 | | 33 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 10 | 43 | 43 | Yes | 21 | | 32 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 43 | 48 | Yes | 922 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.3 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 19 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | % | 8,170,524 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |