How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Matlock Town 2 Trafford 4 -11.2
+0.6
Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 No
No
+8.7
-0.5
Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 -1.1
+0.1
Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 -0.8
+0.0
Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 -0.7
+0.0
Ashton United 4 Belper 3 -0.7
+0.0
Frickley 1 Whitby 1 -0.3
+0.0
Witton Albion 3 Nantwich 0 +0.3
Grantham 1 Blyth 7 +0.2
Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 +0.2
Workington 2 Stamford 0 -0.1
Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Nantwich vs Ramsbottom+2.4*-0.1-1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Grantham vs Frickley-1.4*-0.0+2.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Ashton United vs Matlock Town-1.2*-0.0+2.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic+1.6-0.1-1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Belper vs Workington+1.5-0.1-0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Halesowen vs Marine-0.6*+0.1+1.6
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Matlock Town vs Belper+0.8-1.0-0.3
Marine vs Witton Albion-0.2-0.6+0.6
Frickley vs Nantwich+0.2-0.8+0.3
Stamford vs Curzon Ashton+0.2*-0.0-0.1
Kings Lynn vs Stamford-0.2*+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Trafford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
6716-0-00.1%19.8%021031371740No921
6415-0-1NoNo100No1
6314-2-0NoNo100No2
6214-1-1NoNo33331717No6
6113-3-0NoNo8166484No25*
6013-2-1NoNo21625271811No55
5913-1-2NoNo151029261884No140*
5812-3-1NoNo25173030133No259*
5712-2-2NoNo21021332491No597*
5612-1-3NoNo031326322051No1,191*
5511-3-2NoNo0151732301330No2,304*
5411-2-3NoNo0029253423710No4,375*
5310-4-2NoNo031632321520No7,630*
5210-3-3NoNo01724382450No13,132*
5110-2-4NoNo0031436351210No21,968*
509-4-3NoNo01728422020No34,737*
499-3-4NoNo0031843315000.0%53,615*
489-2-5NoNo00110374111100.080,246*
478-4-4NoNo004274719200.1114,170*
468-3-5NoNo0021846286000.5158,501*
457-5-4NoNo01104037121001.4212,245*
447-4-5NoNo0053042204004.0273,627*
437-3-6NoNo00220412981009.1343,384*
426-5-5NoNo011134361530017.8415,908*
416-4-6NoNo00525392461030.4484,064*
406-3-7NoNo02163633122046.3546,618*
395-5-6NoNo0192938204062.1329,783
6-2-8NoNo0182838214063.6267,657*
385-4-7NoNo0041938309177.2626,437*
375-3-8NoNo0110323817288.4380,515
4-6-6NoNo0111333715287.3258,391*
364-5-7NoNo005244125494.4350,316
5-2-9NoNo005234126594.7273,213*
354-4-8NoNo002153936997.9582,587*
344-3-9NoNo01832431699.3530,550*
333-5-8NoNo00423472599.8458,367*
323-4-9NoNo01154736100.0380,213*
313-3-10NoNo0194248100.0302,929*
302-5-9NoNo053560Yes227,710*
292-4-10NoNo022771Yes163,073*
282-3-11NoNo012079Yes111,034*
271-5-10NoNo01486Yes71,129*
261-4-11NoNo0991Yes42,302*
251-3-12NoNo0595Yes23,273*
241-2-13NoNo397Yes11,958*
230-4-12NoNo298Yes5,432*
220-3-13NoNo199Yes2,103*
210-2-14NoNo0100Yes700
200-1-15NoNo199Yes193
190-0-16NoNo100Yes938
Total:0.0%0.0%000000000000012610141719181366.4%8,170,524

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship