Trafford Title Chances 2014Lost to Rushall Olympic 0-3, title odds unchanged at 0.00001% 19 points 4-7-13 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Matlock Town 2 Trafford 4 | | | | | -11.2 | | +0.6 | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | No | | No | | +8.7 | | -0.5 | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | | | | | -1.1 | | +0.1 | | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | | | | | -0.8 | | +0.0 | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | | | | | -0.7 | | +0.0 | | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | | | | | -0.7 | | +0.0 | | Frickley 1 Whitby 1 | | | | | -0.3 | | +0.0 | | Witton Albion 3 Nantwich 0 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Workington 2 Stamford 0 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 | | | | | *+0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | | | | | +2.4*-0.1-1.3 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Grantham vs Frickley | | | | | -1.4*-0.0+2.2 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | | | | | -1.2*-0.0+2.3 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | | | | | +1.6-0.1-1.1 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Belper vs Workington | | | | | +1.5-0.1-0.8 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Halesowen vs Marine | | | | | -0.6*+0.1+1.6 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Matlock Town vs Belper | | | | | +0.8-1.0-0.3 | | | | Marine vs Witton Albion | | | | | -0.2-0.6+0.6 | | | | Frickley vs Nantwich | | | | | +0.2-0.8+0.3 | | | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | | | | | +0.2*-0.0-0.1 | | | | Kings Lynn vs Stamford | | | | | -0.2*+0.0+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Trafford finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0.1 | % | 19.8 | % | 0 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 37 | 17 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 921 | | 64 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1 | | 63 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2 | | 62 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | 33 | | 33 | 17 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6 | | 61 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | | 8 | 16 | 64 | 8 | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25 | * | 60 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | 2 | 16 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 11 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 55 | | 59 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | No | 140 | * | 58 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | 2 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 30 | 13 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | No | 259 | * | 57 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | 2 | 10 | 21 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | | | | No | 597 | * | 56 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | | No | 1,191 | * | 55 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 2,304 | * | 54 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 4,375 | * | 53 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 32 | 32 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | No | 7,630 | * | 52 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 38 | 24 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | No | 13,132 | * | 51 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 36 | 35 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 21,968 | * | 50 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 42 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | No | 34,737 | * | 49 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 43 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 53,615 | * | 48 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 80,246 | * | 47 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 47 | 19 | 2 | 0 | | | | 0.1 | | 114,170 | * | 46 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 46 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.5 | | 158,501 | * | 45 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 40 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1.4 | | 212,245 | * | 44 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 42 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 4.0 | | 273,627 | * | 43 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 41 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9.1 | | 343,384 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 36 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17.8 | | 415,908 | * | 41 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 39 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 30.4 | | 484,064 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 46.3 | | 546,618 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 62.1 | | 329,783 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 63.6 | | 267,657 | * | 38 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 77.2 | | 626,437 | * | 37 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 38 | 17 | 2 | 88.4 | | 380,515 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 87.3 | | 258,391 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 4 | 94.4 | | 350,316 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 41 | 26 | 5 | 94.7 | | 273,213 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 36 | 9 | 97.9 | | 582,587 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 43 | 16 | 99.3 | | 530,550 | * | 33 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 47 | 25 | 99.8 | | 458,367 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 47 | 36 | 100.0 | | 380,213 | * | 31 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 48 | 100.0 | | 302,929 | * | 30 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 35 | 60 | Yes | 227,710 | * | 29 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 27 | 71 | Yes | 163,073 | * | 28 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | Yes | 111,034 | * | 27 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 14 | 86 | Yes | 71,129 | * | 26 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | Yes | 42,302 | * | 25 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 23,273 | * | 24 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | 11,958 | * | 23 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 5,432 | * | 22 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 2,103 | * | 21 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 700 | | 20 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 193 | | 19 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 938 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 13 | 66.4 | % | 8,170,524 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |