Stourbridge Title Chances 2014 50/50Tied Halesowen 1-1, title odds down 1 to 1.8% 35 points 10-5-6 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | -1.7 | | -3.3 | | +0.2 | | -0.9 | | Stourbridge 1 Halesowen 1 | -0.6 | | -1.0 | | | | -0.2 | | Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 | +0.5 | | +0.5 | | | | | | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | -0.4 | | -0.4 | | | | | | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | -0.2 | | -0.4 | | | | -0.1 | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | -0.2 | | -0.4 | | | | -0.1 | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | -0.1 | | Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 | *+0.1 | | *+0.1 | | | | *+0.0 | | Kings Lynn 2 Ramsbottom 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | *+0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Blyth 1 Workington 0 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 | | | *+0.1 | | | | *+0.0 | | Workington 2 Stamford 0 | | | -0.2 | | | | | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | | | -0.1 | | | | -0.1 | | Stamford 1 Grantham 1 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Rushall Olympic vs Stourbridge | -0.9-0.4+1.2 | | -2.5-0.8+3.1 | | +0.2-0.0-0.2 | | -0.9-0.2+1.1 | | Blyth vs Stourbridge | -0.9-0.4+1.1 | | -2.4-0.8+3.0 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | -0.9-0.2+1.0 | | Workington vs Skelmersdale | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Ramsbottom vs Skelmersdale | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | *+0.1+0.2-0.2 | | | | | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | | +0.2*+0.1-0.3 | | | | | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | -0.2*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.3*+0.0+0.3 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Grantham vs Ilkeston | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Buxton vs Whitby | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Ilkeston vs Buxton | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | | | | | | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | Belper vs Workington | +0.1*-0.0-0.0 | | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Grantham vs Frickley | | | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Kings Lynn vs Stamford | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | | | | | Halesowen vs Marine | | | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Stourbridge finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 82 | -89 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 423 | * | 81 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.2 | % | 99.2 | % | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 127 | * | 80 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 96.1 | | 96.8 | | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 279 | * | 79 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 94.7 | | 96.1 | | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 609 | * | 78 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 91.3 | | 93.5 | | 91 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,026 | * | 77 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 86.5 | | 89.8 | | 86 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,802 | * | 76 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 80.0 | | 85.0 | | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,293 | * | 75 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 70.8 | | 78.1 | | 71 | 26 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,236 | * | 74 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 61.0 | | 70.8 | | 61 | 33 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,580 | * | 73 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 49.4 | | 62.0 | | 49 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,323 | * | 72 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 37.3 | | 53.0 | | 37 | 43 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,704 | * | 71 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 25.2 | | 43.9 | | 25 | 43 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28,326 | * | 70 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 15.4 | | 36.5 | | 15 | 38 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,687 | * | 69 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 8.1 | | 30.9 | | 8 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 53,152 | * | 68 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 3.6 | | 27.1 | | 4 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 70,040 | * | 67 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 1.3 | | 24.4 | | 1 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 88,575 | * | 66 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.3 | | 21.4 | | 0 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 109,010 | * | 65 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.1 | | 17.4 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 130,164 | * | 64 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 12.2 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 150,642 | * | 63 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 6.9 | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 169,444 | * | 62 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 2.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 106,023 | * | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | 3.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 79,958 | | 61 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 1.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 197,299 | * | 60 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 202,145 | * | 59 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 96,961 | | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 106,340 | * | 58 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 195,362 | * | 57 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 184,142 | * | 56 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 80,144 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 87,224 | * | 55 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 147,344 | * | 54 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 124,386 | * | 53 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 103,251 | * | 52 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 35 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 81,822 | * | 51 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 62,258 | * | 50 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 45,999 | * | 49 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.2 | | 32,779 | * | 48 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 37 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | 1.1 | | 22,386 | * | 47 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 3.7 | | 14,652 | * | 46 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | 9.5 | | 8,979 | * | 45 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0 | | 20.4 | | 5,302 | * | 44 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 38.5 | | 2,932 | * | 43 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 55.5 | | 1,578 | * | 42 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 20 | 33 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 73.3 | | 754 | * | 41 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 13 | 26 | 35 | 20 | 4 | 84.8 | | 355 | * | 40 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 20 | 44 | 26 | 5 | 95.4 | | 130 | * | 39 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 40 | 10 | 96.2 | | 52 | * | 38 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 31 | 56 | 13 | Yes | 16 | * | 37 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 33 | 33 | Yes | 3 | | 35 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 39 | 55 | Yes | 326 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1.8 | % | 7.1 | % | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | % | 2,884,344 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |