Stourbridge Title Chances 2014
Tied Halesowen 1-1, title odds down 0.7 to 1%
35 points 10-5-6
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | -1.3 | -3.2 | -0.8 | |||
| Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 | +0.4 | +0.3 | ||||
| Stourbridge 1 Halesowen 1 | -0.4 | -0.7 | -0.1 | |||
| Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | -0.2 | -0.2 | ||||
| Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 | +0.2 | +0.3 | +0.0 | |||
| Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.0 | |||
| Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 | +0.1 | +0.2 | +0.0 | |||
| Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.1 | |||
| Kings Lynn 2 Ramsbottom 1 | +0.1 | +0.2 | ||||
| Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.0 | |||
| Blyth 1 Workington 0 | +0.2 | |||||
| Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | +0.2 | +0.0 | ||||
| Workington 2 Stamford 0 | -0.2 | |||||
| Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Blyth vs Stourbridge | -0.5-0.2+0.8 | -2.0-0.6+2.7 | -0.8-0.1+0.9 | |||
| Rushall Olympic vs Stourbridge | -0.6-0.3+0.7 | -2.2-0.8+2.5 | -0.9-0.2+0.9 | |||
| Workington vs Skelmersdale | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||
| Ramsbottom vs Skelmersdale | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||
| Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | +0.3+0.1-0.2 | ||||
| Grantham vs Ilkeston | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | ||||
| Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | ||||
| Ashton United vs Matlock Town | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | -0.2+0.1+0.3 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Ilkeston vs Buxton | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | ||||
| Buxton vs Whitby | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | -0.3+0.1+0.3 | ||||
| Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Belper vs Workington | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Kings Lynn vs Stamford | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||||
| Halesowen vs Marine | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Grantham vs Frickley | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Whitby vs Blyth | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Stourbridge finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 89 | 18 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | 99.9 | % | 100 | 0 | No | 922 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 87 | 17 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | No | 3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 86 | 17 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 90.9 | 90.9 | 91 | 9 | No | 11 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 85 | 16 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 98.0 | 98.0 | 98 | 2 | No | 51 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 84 | 16 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 96.0 | 96.8 | 96 | 4 | No | 125 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 83 | 15 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 96.3 | 97.1 | 96 | 3 | 0 | No | 244 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 82 | 15 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 94.2 | 95.5 | 94 | 6 | 0 | No | 669 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 81 | 15 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 89.9 | 92.4 | 90 | 10 | 0 | No | 1,253 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 80 | 14 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 85.3 | 89.0 | 85 | 14 | 1 | No | 2,321 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 79 | 14 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 77.7 | 83.3 | 78 | 21 | 2 | 0 | No | 4,672 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 13 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 69.2 | 76.9 | 69 | 27 | 3 | 0 | No | 7,983 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 13 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 57.4 | 68.1 | 57 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 13,694 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 13 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 44.4 | 58.3 | 44 | 42 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 22,762 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 12 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 32.8 | 49.6 | 33 | 45 | 19 | 3 | 0 | No | 35,270 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 12 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 22.1 | 41.5 | 22 | 43 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 54,184 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 12 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 13.2 | 34.8 | 13 | 38 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 78,810 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 11 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 7.0 | 30.2 | 7 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 110,545 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 11 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 3.1 | 27.0 | 3 | 19 | 37 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 152,355 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 10 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 1.2 | 24.8 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 200,187 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 10 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.3 | 22.7 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 36 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 253,498 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.1 | 19.7 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 314,809 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 9 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 15.4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 375,323 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 66 | 9 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.0 | 10.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 436,805 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 65 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.0 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 492,003 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 64 | 8 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 2.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 534,758 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 63 | 8 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 565,728 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 62 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 581,459 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 61 | 7 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 575,252 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 60 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 555,007 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 59 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 518,430 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 58 | 6 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 467,825 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 57 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 409,625 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 56 | 5 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 347,518 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 55 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 34 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 283,979 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 37 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 225,400 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 53 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 37 | 31 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 172,164 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 52 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 39 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 126,118 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 51 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 89,696 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 60,733 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 49 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 45 | 15 | 2 | 0 | No | 40,060 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 21 | 47 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 24,976 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 2 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 14,913 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 34 | 40 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 8,511 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 23 | 41 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 4,637 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | 1 | 11 | 35 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2.3 | 2,341 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 26 | 38 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 | 1,150 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | 1 | 18 | 34 | 33 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14.1 | 495 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 41 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | 2 | 5 | 32 | 36 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 24.1 | 228 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | 3 | 16 | 33 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 48.6 | 70 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | 21 | 29 | 17 | 25 | 8 | 50.0 | 24 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | 14 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 85.7 | 7 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 18 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 44 | 18 | 99.3 | 921 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 1.0 | % | 6.2 | % | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 8,170,524 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:23 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
