Stamford Title Chances 2014 50/50Tied Grantham 1-1, title odds down 0.2 to 0.2% 28 points 8-4-9 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Workington 2 Stamford 0 | -0.3 | | -1.3 | | +1.5 | | -0.9 | | Stamford 1 Grantham 1 | -0.1 | | -0.4 | | +0.2 | | -0.2 | | Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | -0.1 | | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | | | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | | | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | | | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Blyth 1 Workington 0 | | | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Kings Lynn 2 Ramsbottom 1 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | | | *+0.1 | | *+0.1 | | | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | Frickley 1 Whitby 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | | +0.9-0.3-0.7 | | -1.8+0.1+1.7 | | +1.0-0.2-0.8 | | Kings Lynn vs Stamford | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | -0.7-0.3+0.9 | | +1.7+0.1-1.8 | | -0.9-0.2+1.0 | | Workington vs Skelmersdale | | | | | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | | | | Grantham vs Ilkeston | | | *+0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Buxton vs Whitby | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | | | | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.3-0.1-0.3 | | | | Belper vs Workington | | | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | | | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | | | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | | | Grantham vs Frickley | | | | | -0.2*-0.0+0.3 | | | | Halesowen vs Marine | | | | | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Matlock Town vs Belper | | | | | +0.1-0.2*+0.0 | | | | Frickley vs Nantwich | | | | | *+0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Stamford finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 78 | -85 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 363 | * | 77 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 88.2 | % | 90.6 | % | 88 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 85 | * | 76 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 80.7 | | 85.2 | | 81 | 19 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 135 | * | 75 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 76.5 | | 82.3 | | 76 | 21 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 327 | * | 74 | | 14 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 66.6 | | 75.0 | | 67 | 30 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 515 | * | 73 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 55.6 | | 66.7 | | 56 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,012 | * | 72 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 41.3 | | 55.9 | | 41 | 41 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,747 | * | 71 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 29.1 | | 46.8 | | 29 | 43 | 22 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,884 | * | 70 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 17.8 | | 38.3 | | 18 | 40 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,709 | * | 69 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 9.1 | | 31.7 | | 9 | 32 | 37 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,582 | * | 68 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 4.6 | | 28.0 | | 5 | 21 | 36 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,543 | * | 67 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 1.7 | | 24.8 | | 2 | 12 | 30 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17,286 | * | 66 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.5 | | 21.8 | | 0 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,675 | * | 65 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | 17.6 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 34,436 | * | 64 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 12.3 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 46,711 | * | 63 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 7.0 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 60,731 | * | 62 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 3.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 78,183 | * | 61 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 0.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 97,313 | * | 60 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 117,441 | * | 59 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 137,403 | * | 58 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 156,573 | * | 57 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 173,459 | * | 56 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 186,647 | * | 55 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 94,705 | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 100,243 | * | 54 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 197,662 | * | 53 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 114,576 | | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | No | 81,482 | * | 52 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 187,217 | * | 51 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 174,145 | * | 50 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 157,469 | * | 49 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.2 | | 137,919 | * | 48 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.9 | | 117,038 | * | 47 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 3.1 | | 96,141 | * | 46 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 8.4 | | 76,052 | * | 45 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18.9 | | 58,261 | * | 44 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 33.7 | | 43,444 | * | 43 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 52.0 | | 30,956 | * | 42 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 69.6 | | 21,147 | * | 41 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 83.9 | | 13,879 | * | 40 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 92.5 | | 8,696 | * | 39 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | 12 | 97.5 | | 5,237 | * | 38 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 27 | 43 | 22 | 99.3 | | 2,920 | * | 37 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 22 | 43 | 31 | 99.6 | | 1,564 | * | 36 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 41 | 44 | 99.8 | | 837 | * | 35 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 36 | 58 | Yes | 400 | * | 34 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 23 | 73 | Yes | 172 | * | 33 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 23 | 75 | Yes | 65 | * | 30 | -32 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 31 | * | 28 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 326 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.2 | % | 1.4 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.4 | % | 2,884,344 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |