"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Workington 2 Stamford 0 -0.3
-1.3
+1.5
-0.9
Stamford 1 Grantham 1 -0.1
-0.4
+0.2
-0.2
Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 +0.1
+0.1
-0.1
Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Ashton United 4 Belper 3 -0.1
-0.2
Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 -0.1
-0.2
Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 -0.1
-0.2
Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 *-0.1
Blyth 1 Workington 0 +0.1
+0.1
Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 +0.1
Kings Lynn 2 Ramsbottom 1 *+0.1
Grantham 1 Blyth 7 *+0.1
*+0.1
Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 -0.2
Frickley 1 Whitby 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Stamford vs Curzon Ashton+0.2-0.1-0.1
+0.9-0.3-0.7
-1.8+0.1+1.7
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Kings Lynn vs Stamford-0.1-0.1+0.2
-0.7-0.3+0.9
+1.7+0.1-1.8
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Workington vs Skelmersdale-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Ashton United vs Matlock Town-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Grantham vs Ilkeston*+0.0+0.0-0.1
Buxton vs Whitby-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Nantwich vs Ramsbottom+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Belper vs Workington+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Grantham vs Frickley-0.2*-0.0+0.3
Halesowen vs Marine-0.1-0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Matlock Town vs Belper+0.1-0.2*+0.0
Frickley vs Nantwich*+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Stamford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
78-85YesYes100No363*
7716-1-288.2%90.6%88111No85*
7615-3-180.785.281191No135*
7515-2-276.582.376213No327*
7414-4-166.675.0673030No515*
7314-3-255.666.75637710No1,012*
7214-2-341.355.941411620No1,747*
7113-4-229.146.829432250No2,884*
7013-3-317.838.31840301110No4,709*
6913-2-49.131.79323718410No7,582*
6812-4-34.628.052136271020No11,543*
6712-3-41.724.8212303318510No17,286*
6611-5-30.521.80519332811300No24,675*
6511-4-40.117.602102633217100No34,436*
6411-3-50.012.3004153030164100No46,711*
6310-5-40.07.00017203126113000No60,731*
6210-4-5No3.00021024322282000No78,183*
6110-3-6No0.90003142730186100No97,313*
609-5-5No0.2001517292815410No117,441*
599-4-6No0.0001821302511300No137,403*
589-3-7No0.0002102430229200No156,573*
578-5-6No0.0001414273018610No173,459*
568-4-7NoNo001617302814300No186,647*
557-6-6NoNo00292333248100No94,705
8-3-8NoNo001822322510200No100,243*
547-5-7NoNo00312273319500No197,662*
537-4-8NoNo001417333012200No114,576
6-7-6NoNo00151933291120No81,482*
526-6-7NoNo001925362350000.0%187,217*
516-5-8NoNo003153433132000.0174,145*
506-4-9NoNo001725382361000.0157,469*
495-6-8NoNo002143533132000.2137,919*
485-5-9NoNo01625372361000.9117,038*
475-4-10NoNo002153432143003.196,141*
464-6-9NoNo0172536237108.476,052*
454-5-10NoNo031532311530018.958,261*
444-4-11NoNo01723352481033.743,444*
433-6-10NoNo03143132164052.030,956*
423-5-11NoNo0172335268169.621,147*
413-4-12NoNo0313313416383.913,879*
402-6-11NoNo017233826792.58,696*
392-5-12NoNo021435361297.55,237*
382-4-13NoNo1827432299.32,920*
372-3-14NoNo0322433199.61,564*
361-5-13NoNo0113414499.8837*
351-4-14NoNo163658Yes400*
341-3-15NoNo132373Yes172*
331-2-16NoNo22375Yes65*
30-32NoNo100Yes31*
280-0-19NoNo199Yes326
Total:0.2%1.4%001123456781011111085321003.4%2,884,344

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship