Skelmersdale United Title Chances 2014 50/50Beat Marine 3-1, title odds up 6.4 to 31.3% 51 points 14-9-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | +8.5 | | +8.3 | | *No | | +0.6 | | Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 | -7.7 | | -7.1 | | | | -0.5 | | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | -1.4 | | -1.2 | | | | -0.1 | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | -1.1 | | -1.0 | | | | -0.1 | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | -1.0 | | -1.0 | | | | -0.1 | | Kings Lynn 2 Ramsbottom 1 | +0.6 | | +0.5 | | | | | | Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | +0.4 | | +0.5 | | | | | | Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 | +0.4 | | +0.3 | | | | +0.0 | | Blyth 1 Workington 0 | +0.4 | | +0.4 | | | | | | Workington 2 Stamford 0 | -0.3 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 | +0.3 | | *+0.3 | | | | +0.0 | | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | | | | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Stourbridge 1 Halesowen 1 | *+0.1 | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Stamford 1 Grantham 1 | *+0.1 | | *+0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Ramsbottom vs Skelmersdale | -8.6-2.3+10.1 | | -8.0-1.8+9.2 | | | | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | | Workington vs Skelmersdale | -8.3-2.4+9.9 | | -7.7-1.9+9.0 | | | | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | +2.2+0.8-2.8 | | +1.7+0.6-2.2 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | -1.7+0.5+1.4 | | -1.5+0.4+1.2 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton | +0.4+1.4-1.4 | | +0.3+1.1-1.0 | | | | | | Grantham vs Ilkeston | +1.2+0.5-1.6 | | +1.0+0.5-1.3 | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Buxton vs Whitby | -1.5+0.5+1.2 | | -1.3+0.4+1.0 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Ilkeston vs Buxton | -0.6+1.1*-0.1 | | -0.5+0.9*-0.1 | | | | | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | +0.6*+0.1-0.7 | | +0.6*+0.1-0.7 | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Belper vs Workington | +0.2*+0.1-0.3 | | +0.3*+0.1-0.4 | | | | | | Blyth vs Stourbridge | +0.2*+0.1-0.3 | | +0.2*+0.1-0.3 | | | | | | Rushall Olympic vs Stourbridge | *+0.0+0.2-0.2 | | *+0.0+0.2-0.2 | | | | | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2*+0.1-0.3 | | | | | | Kings Lynn vs Stamford | -0.2+0.2*+0.1 | | -0.2+0.2*+0.1 | | | | | | Grantham vs Frickley | -0.2*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Skelmersdale finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 87 | -93 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,567 | * | 86 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.7 | % | 99.8 | % | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,509 | | 85 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.8 | | 99.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,845 | * | 84 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.5 | | 99.6 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,786 | * | 83 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.2 | | 99.4 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,293 | * | 82 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 98.8 | | 99.1 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,613 | * | 81 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 97.9 | | 98.4 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,672 | * | 80 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 96.2 | | 97.1 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 35,274 | * | 79 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 94.2 | | 95.7 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 49,438 | * | 78 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 90.6 | | 92.9 | | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 68,592 | * | 77 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 86.0 | | 89.5 | | 86 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 93,113 | * | 76 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 80.4 | | 85.3 | | 80 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 74,328 | | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 79.1 | | 84.3 | | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 42,335 | * | 75 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 71.6 | | 78.7 | | 72 | 26 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 111,682 | | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 72.5 | | 79.4 | | 72 | 25 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,831 | * | 74 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 61.1 | | 70.9 | | 61 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 100,334 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 63.6 | | 72.7 | | 64 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 71,974 | * | 73 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 51.5 | | 63.6 | | 52 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 130,301 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 49.9 | | 62.4 | | 50 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 63,838 | * | 72 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 38.6 | | 54.0 | | 39 | 44 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 156,086 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 40.1 | | 55.1 | | 40 | 43 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 58,128 | * | 71 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 26.1 | | 44.6 | | 26 | 44 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 116,733 | | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 28.6 | | 46.5 | | 29 | 44 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 109,776 | * | 70 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 17.4 | | 38.0 | | 17 | 40 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 156,142 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 7 | 16.7 | | 37.5 | | 17 | 40 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 72,625 | * | 69 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 9.0 | | 31.7 | | 9 | 31 | 37 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 156,297 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 10.3 | | 32.6 | | 10 | 33 | 36 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 68,311 | * | 68 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 4.7 | | 28.1 | | 5 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 104,028 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 4.1 | | 27.5 | | 4 | 21 | 36 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 107,661 | * | 67 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 1.6 | | 24.9 | | 2 | 12 | 30 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 130,537 | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 8 | 1.7 | | 24.8 | | 2 | 11 | 30 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 59,853 | * | 66 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 0.4 | | 21.5 | | 0 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 119,522 | * | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 0.6 | | 22.2 | | 1 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 46,294 | | 65 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 0.1 | | 17.9 | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 74,611 | * | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 0.1 | | 16.9 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 63,256 | | 64 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 12.0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 74,481 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 11.7 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 34,338 | * | 63 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | 6.5 | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 82,695 | * | 62 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | 2.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 59,909 | * | 61 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | 0.8 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 40,540 | * | 60 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 26,442 | * | 59 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 16,424 | * | 58 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 9,261 | * | 57 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 4,855 | * | 56 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | | No | 2,333 | * | 55 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 19 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 2 | | | | | | | | No | 991 | * | 54 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 11 | 25 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | No | 395 | * | 53 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 12 | 34 | 34 | 16 | 2 | | | | | | | No | 131 | | 52 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 40 | 29 | 14 | 9 | | | | | | | No | 35 | | 51 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 26 | 37 | 19 | 2 | | | | | | No | 329 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 31.3 | % | 45.4 | % | 31 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 2,884,344 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |