"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 +0.7
+1.9
-1.2
+1.0
Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 +0.1
+0.1
-0.1
Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 -0.1
-0.2
-0.1
Ashton United 4 Belper 3 -0.2
-0.1
Blyth 1 Workington 0 +0.1
Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 +0.1
Kings Lynn 2 Ramsbottom 1 *+0.1
Grantham 1 Blyth 7 *+0.1
Stourbridge 1 Halesowen 1 *+0.1
Stamford 1 Grantham 1 *+0.1
Frickley 1 Whitby 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Rushall Olympic vs Stourbridge+0.9-0.3-0.7
+2.5-0.7-2.0
-0.4*-0.0+0.4
+1.1-0.2-0.9
Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic-0.7-0.3+0.9
-1.9-0.7+2.3
+0.5-0.0-0.4
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Workington vs Skelmersdale+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Ramsbottom vs Skelmersdale+0.1+0.1-0.2
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Stamford vs Curzon Ashton+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
Grantham vs Ilkeston+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Ashton United vs Matlock Town-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.3*+0.1+0.2
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Buxton vs Whitby-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton+0.0+0.1-0.1
Nantwich vs Ramsbottom+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2*+0.0-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.0*+0.0-0.1
Ilkeston vs Buxton-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Belper vs Workington+0.2*+0.0-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Blyth vs Stourbridge+0.1+0.1-0.1
Grantham vs Frickley-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Halesowen vs Marine-0.1+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rushall Olympic finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
83-91YesYes100No377*
8216-3-198.3%98.3%982No59*
8116-2-297.597.59821No122*
8015-4-197.397.7973No259*
7915-3-293.795.3946No511*
7815-2-392.794.49370No862*
7714-4-286.689.9871310No1,471*
7614-3-381.586.1811710No2,479*
7514-2-471.678.7722630No4,159*
7413-4-361.170.8613360No6,665*
7313-3-449.161.849391110No10,056*
7212-5-336.352.2364317300No14,822*
7112-4-424.643.5254325610No21,423*
7012-3-514.936.115383212200No30,109*
6911-5-47.930.78293720510No40,882*
6811-4-53.326.9318352911200No53,988*
6711-3-61.324.3110283420610No69,495*
6610-5-50.321.10417322913300No86,275*
6510-4-60.116.80182433238200No104,988*
649-6-50.011.5003142931175100No124,269*
639-5-60.06.40016193127123000No143,765*
629-4-7No2.800292432239200No160,260*
618-6-6No0.9003132731186100No175,066*
608-5-7No0.20015173028144100No185,614*
598-4-8No0.0001821312511300No191,771*
587-6-7No0.0002112531218100No192,956*
577-5-8NoNo0014142830175100No189,059*
567-4-9NoNo001619312713300No179,113*
556-6-8NoNo00292432238100No166,105*
546-5-9NoNo000313293218400No148,823*
536-4-10NoNo001519332911200No129,290*
525-6-9NoNo0029263522510No110,143*
515-5-10NoNo0004163332132000.0%89,508*
505-4-11NoNo0172437236100.071,113*
494-6-10NoNo0021433331430000.254,802*
484-5-11NoNo0162337258101.140,467*
474-4-12NoNo002133233163003.929,337*
463-6-11NoNo016213527910010.420,288*
453-5-12NoNo021228341850023.013,322*
443-4-13NoNo015203527112039.58,495*
432-6-12NoNo02112834205059.35,201*
422-5-13NoNo1419362811176.72,990*
412-4-14NoNo0210273720488.21,602*
401-6-13NoNo14203829895.0883*
391-5-14NoNo02933391798.0451*
381-4-15NoNo1527412799.5184*
371-3-16NoNo3164833Yes88*
360-5-15NoNo34453Yes34*
350-4-16NoNo114444Yes9*
340-3-17NoNo2080Yes5
330-2-18NoNo100Yes3
310-0-20NoNo793Yes326
Total:1.3%5.5%12456788999876532100000.7%2,884,344

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship