Rushall Olympic Title Chances 2014 50/50Beat Trafford 3-0, title odds up 0.3 to 1.3% 31 points 9-4-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | +0.7 | | +1.9 | | -1.2 | | +1.0 | | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | -0.1 | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Blyth 1 Workington 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Kings Lynn 2 Ramsbottom 1 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Stourbridge 1 Halesowen 1 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Stamford 1 Grantham 1 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Frickley 1 Whitby 1 | | | | | | | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Rushall Olympic vs Stourbridge | +0.9-0.3-0.7 | | +2.5-0.7-2.0 | | -0.4*-0.0+0.4 | | +1.1-0.2-0.9 | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | -0.7-0.3+0.9 | | -1.9-0.7+2.3 | | +0.5-0.0-0.4 | | -0.9-0.2+1.0 | | Workington vs Skelmersdale | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Ramsbottom vs Skelmersdale | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Grantham vs Ilkeston | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.3*+0.1+0.2 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | | | Buxton vs Whitby | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | Ilkeston vs Buxton | -0.0+0.1*-0.0 | | | | | | | | Belper vs Workington | | | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.0 | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | Blyth vs Stourbridge | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Grantham vs Frickley | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Halesowen vs Marine | | | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Rushall Olympic finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 83 | -91 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 377 | * | 82 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 98.3 | % | 98.3 | % | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 59 | * | 81 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 97.5 | | 97.5 | | 98 | 2 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 122 | * | 80 | | 15 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 97.3 | | 97.7 | | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 259 | * | 79 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 93.7 | | 95.3 | | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 511 | * | 78 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 92.7 | | 94.4 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 862 | * | 77 | | 14 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 86.6 | | 89.9 | | 87 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,471 | * | 76 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 81.5 | | 86.1 | | 81 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,479 | * | 75 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 71.6 | | 78.7 | | 72 | 26 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,159 | * | 74 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 61.1 | | 70.8 | | 61 | 33 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,665 | * | 73 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 49.1 | | 61.8 | | 49 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,056 | * | 72 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 36.3 | | 52.2 | | 36 | 43 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,822 | * | 71 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 24.6 | | 43.5 | | 25 | 43 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,423 | * | 70 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 14.9 | | 36.1 | | 15 | 38 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30,109 | * | 69 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 7.9 | | 30.7 | | 8 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 40,882 | * | 68 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 3.3 | | 26.9 | | 3 | 18 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 53,988 | * | 67 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 1.3 | | 24.3 | | 1 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 69,495 | * | 66 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 0.3 | | 21.1 | | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 86,275 | * | 65 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 0.1 | | 16.8 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 104,988 | * | 64 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 11.5 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 124,269 | * | 63 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 6.4 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 143,765 | * | 62 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 2.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 160,260 | * | 61 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | 0.9 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 175,066 | * | 60 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 185,614 | * | 59 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 191,771 | * | 58 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 192,956 | * | 57 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 189,059 | * | 56 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 179,113 | * | 55 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 166,105 | * | 54 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 148,823 | * | 53 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 129,290 | * | 52 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 110,143 | * | 51 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 89,508 | * | 50 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 71,113 | * | 49 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.2 | | 54,802 | * | 48 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 37 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | 1.1 | | 40,467 | * | 47 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 3.9 | | 29,337 | * | 46 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10.4 | | 20,288 | * | 45 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23.0 | | 13,322 | * | 44 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 39.5 | | 8,495 | * | 43 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 59.3 | | 5,201 | * | 42 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 28 | 11 | 1 | 76.7 | | 2,990 | * | 41 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 37 | 20 | 4 | 88.2 | | 1,602 | * | 40 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 20 | 38 | 29 | 8 | 95.0 | | 883 | * | 39 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 39 | 17 | 98.0 | | 451 | * | 38 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 27 | 41 | 27 | 99.5 | | 184 | * | 37 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 16 | 48 | 33 | Yes | 88 | * | 36 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 44 | 53 | Yes | 34 | * | 35 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 44 | 44 | Yes | 9 | * | 34 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | 80 | Yes | 5 | | 33 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 3 | | 31 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 93 | Yes | 326 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1.3 | % | 5.5 | % | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | % | 2,884,344 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |