Nantwich Town Title Chances 2014 50/50Lost to Witton Albion 0-3, title odds down 0.004 to 0.002% 22 points 6-4-14 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 | No | | +2.1 | | -0.2 | | Witton Albion 3 Nantwich 0 | | | +10.3 | | -0.7 | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | | | -1.3 | | +0.1 | | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | | | -1.2 | | +0.1 | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | | | -1.2 | | +0.0 | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | | | -1.1 | | +0.1 | | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | | | -1.0 | | +0.1 | | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | | | +0.6 | | | | Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 | | | +0.4 | | -0.0 | | Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 | | | -0.3 | | *+0.0 | | Blyth 1 Workington 0 | | | +0.3 | | | | Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | | | +0.3 | | | | Frickley 1 Whitby 1 | | | -0.2 | | | | Matlock Town 2 Trafford 4 | | | *-0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Frickley vs Nantwich | NoNo+0.0 | | +10.9+1.9-12.2 | | -0.7-0.2+0.8 | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | +0.0NoNo | | -10.7+2.2+9.2 | | +0.7-0.2-0.6 | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | | | -1.4-0.5+1.8 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Grantham vs Frickley | | | -1.5-0.3+1.7 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | | | +1.3-0.2-1.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Belper vs Workington | | | +1.3-0.3-1.1 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Halesowen vs Marine | | | -0.8-0.4+1.1 | | | | Matlock Town vs Belper | | | +0.6-0.9*-0.0 | | | | Marine vs Witton Albion | | | *+0.1-0.7+0.4 | | | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | | | +0.2*+0.0-0.3 | | | | Kings Lynn vs Stamford | | | -0.2*-0.0+0.3 | | | | Buxton vs Whitby | | | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Nantwich finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 70 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 19.3 | % | 39.4 | % | 19 | 42 | 29 | 8 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 327 | | 68 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 20.0 | | | 20 | 20 | 40 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5 | | 67 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 14.3 | | | | 14 | 71 | | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7 | | 66 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 20.0 | | | 5 | 5 | 45 | 35 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20 | | 65 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 19.4 | | | | 10 | 36 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 72 | | 64 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 14.0 | | | 1 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 32 | 9 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 129 | * | 63 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 9.4 | | | | 1 | 10 | 27 | 36 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 318 | | 62 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 4.4 | | | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 685 | * | 61 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 1.9 | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,283 | * | 60 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 0.7 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,441 | * | 59 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,963 | * | 58 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 6,934 | * | 57 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 11,391 | * | 56 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 17,175 | * | 55 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 25,841 | * | 54 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 37,647 | * | 53 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 31 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 51,729 | * | 52 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 69,917 | * | 51 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 33 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 90,581 | * | 50 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 113,032 | * | 49 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 37 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.3 | | 137,346 | * | 48 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1.2 | | 160,668 | * | 47 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 3.8 | | 180,121 | * | 46 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10.6 | | 125,550 | | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | 8.9 | | 73,278 | * | 45 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19.5 | | 117,113 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21.9 | | 93,446 | * | 44 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35.8 | | 214,778 | * | 43 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 54.8 | | 134,881 | * | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 50.6 | | 78,077 | | 42 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 69.0 | | 117,144 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 71.4 | | 86,181 | * | 41 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 15 | 2 | 82.9 | | 187,874 | * | 40 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 38 | 25 | 5 | 92.3 | | 93,873 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 37 | 23 | 4 | 90.7 | | 72,919 | * | 39 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 33 | 10 | 96.4 | | 143,539 | * | 38 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 41 | 18 | 98.7 | | 118,546 | * | 37 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 44 | 27 | 99.6 | | 94,398 | * | 36 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 43 | 40 | 99.9 | | 72,318 | * | 35 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 39 | 52 | 100.0 | | 52,365 | * | 34 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 63 | 100.0 | | 36,885 | * | 33 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 74 | 100.0 | | 24,356 | * | 32 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 17 | 82 | Yes | 15,599 | * | 31 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 11 | 88 | Yes | 9,081 | * | 30 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 5,157 | * | 29 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | Yes | 2,784 | * | 28 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 1,325 | * | 27 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 589 | * | 26 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 212 | * | 22 | -25 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 444 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 44.5 | % | 2,884,344 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |