Matlock Town Title Chances 2014 50/50Lost to Buxton 2-3, title odds down 0.005 to 0.002% 18 points 4-6-12 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Matlock Town 2 Trafford 4 | No | | +10.0 | | -0.7 | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | | | +8.7 | | -0.6 | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | | | -1.2 | | +0.1 | | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | | | -1.1 | | +0.1 | | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | | | -1.1 | | +0.1 | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | | | -1.1 | | +0.1 | | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | | | +0.5 | | | | Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 | | | +0.4 | | | | Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | | | +0.4 | | | | Blyth 1 Workington 0 | | | +0.4 | | | | Frickley 1 Whitby 1 | | | -0.3 | | +0.0 | | Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 | | | -0.3 | | *+0.0 | | Workington 2 Stamford 0 | | | -0.3 | | | | Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 | | | *-0.2 | | | | Witton Albion 3 Nantwich 0 | | | +0.2 | | | | Stourbridge 1 Halesowen 1 | | | *-0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Matlock Town vs Belper | +0.0NoNo | | -11.4+2.2+10.0 | | +0.7-0.1-0.6 | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | No-0.0+0.0 | | +8.6+2.5-10.3 | | -0.5-0.2+0.6 | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | | | +1.7-0.2-1.6 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Grantham vs Frickley | | | -1.4-0.3+1.6 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | | | +1.4-0.3-1.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Belper vs Workington | | | +1.3-0.3-1.1 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Halesowen vs Marine | | | -0.8-0.3+1.0 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Frickley vs Nantwich | | | +0.1-0.7+0.3 | | | | Marine vs Witton Albion | | | *-0.1-0.5+0.4 | | | | Buxton vs Whitby | | | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | | | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | | | Kings Lynn vs Stamford | | | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Matlock Town finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 69 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 15.9 | % | 36.7 | % | 16 | 39 | 34 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 327 | | 67 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1 | | 66 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 16.7 | | | | 67 | | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6 | | 65 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | No | | | 50 | | 25 | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4 | | 64 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 20.0 | | | | 11 | 26 | 43 | 17 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 35 | | 63 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 10.2 | | | 2 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 3 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 59 | * | 62 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 6.1 | | | | 2 | 4 | 19 | 23 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 180 | | 61 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 2.4 | | | | | 2 | 7 | 23 | 33 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 297 | * | 60 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 0.5 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 553 | * | 59 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 31 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,177 | * | 58 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 26 | 15 | 4 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,121 | * | 57 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,570 | * | 56 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 6,264 | * | 55 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 9,692 | * | 54 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 15,127 | * | 53 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | No | 22,806 | * | 52 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 32,544 | * | 51 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 45,260 | * | 50 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 60,979 | * | 49 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.3 | | 79,363 | * | 48 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | 1.1 | | 100,081 | * | 47 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 3.9 | | 122,321 | * | 46 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9.9 | | 144,519 | * | 45 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20.6 | | 165,304 | * | 44 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 35.8 | | 184,017 | * | 43 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 53.0 | | 198,184 | * | 42 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 70.9 | | 114,754 | | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 37 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 68.2 | | 92,780 | * | 41 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 82.3 | | 124,625 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 83.8 | | 84,395 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 91.5 | | 204,732 | * | 39 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 33 | 9 | 96.8 | | 99,973 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 38 | 31 | 8 | 96.1 | | 93,868 | * | 38 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 40 | 16 | 98.7 | | 177,784 | * | 37 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 45 | 25 | 99.6 | | 156,795 | * | 36 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 36 | 99.9 | | 133,980 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 41 | 48 | 100.0 | | 110,259 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 60 | 100.0 | | 87,570 | * | 33 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 71 | 100.0 | | 66,737 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 100.0 | | 49,277 | * | 31 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 86 | Yes | 34,214 | * | 30 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 91 | Yes | 23,190 | * | 29 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 94 | Yes | 14,727 | * | 28 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | Yes | 9,051 | * | 27 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 5,087 | * | 26 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 2,814 | * | 25 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,486 | * | 24 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 710 | * | 23 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 284 | * | 18 | -22 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 461 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 62.0 | % | 2,884,344 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |