Matlock Town Title Chances 2014Lost to Buxton 2-3, title odds down 0.003 to 0.0002% 18 points 4-6-12 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Matlock Town 2 Trafford 4 | No | | | | +11.4 | | -0.6 | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | No | | No | | +6.3 | | -0.3 | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | | | | | -1.5 | | +0.1 | | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | | | | | -0.8 | | +0.0 | | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | | | | | -0.7 | | +0.0 | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | | | | | -0.7 | | +0.0 | | Witton Albion 3 Nantwich 0 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 | | | | | +0.3 | | -0.0 | | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | Frickley 1 Whitby 1 | | | | | -0.2 | | +0.0 | | Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Stamford 1 Grantham 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | | | NoNo+0.0 | | +6.5+0.2-12.9 | | -0.3-0.0+0.7 | | Matlock Town vs Belper | | | +0.0NoNo | | -10.3+3.4+11.0 | | +0.5-0.2-0.6 | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | | | | | +2.5*+0.0-1.4 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | Grantham vs Frickley | | | | | -1.3*-0.1+2.2 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | | | | | +1.6-0.1-1.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Belper vs Workington | | | | | +1.6-0.2-0.8 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Halesowen vs Marine | | | | | -0.6*+0.0+1.6 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Marine vs Witton Albion | | | | | -0.2-0.6+0.6 | | | | Frickley vs Nantwich | | | | | +0.1-0.7+0.4 | | | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | | | | | +0.2*+0.0-0.1 | | | | Kings Lynn vs Stamford | | | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Matlock Town finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 69 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1.5 | % | 25.6 | % | 2 | 16 | 32 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 921 | | 65 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1 | | 64 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | | 67 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3 | | 63 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | | | 60 | 20 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5 | * | 62 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | 5 | 10 | 30 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20 | | 61 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | 7 | 14 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 59 | * | 60 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | 2 | 11 | 27 | 32 | 21 | 6 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | No | 117 | * | 59 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 26 | 18 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 251 | * | 58 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | 2 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 23 | 15 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | No | 496 | * | 57 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 1,005 | * | 56 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | | | | | | | | No | 2,015 | * | 55 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 29 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,828 | * | 54 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 8 | 1 | | | | | | | No | 6,643 | * | 53 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 33 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | No | 11,463 | * | 52 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | No | 18,316 | * | 51 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 37 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 29,853 | * | 50 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 42 | 24 | 3 | 0 | | | | | No | 45,980 | * | 49 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 67,438 | * | 48 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 97,653 | * | 47 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 49 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 136,397 | * | 46 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 47 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.4 | | 182,246 | * | 45 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1.4 | | 238,841 | * | 44 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 43 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 3.7 | | 301,147 | * | 43 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 41 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | 8.4 | | 366,517 | * | 42 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 35 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16.7 | | 437,204 | * | 41 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 40 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 28.8 | | 500,130 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 37 | 32 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 44.2 | | 552,870 | * | 39 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 61.5 | | 328,843 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 59.5 | | 266,054 | * | 38 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 75.1 | | 361,548 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 75.9 | | 253,720 | * | 37 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 86.6 | | 615,706 | * | 36 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 40 | 25 | 4 | 94.2 | | 317,685 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 40 | 23 | 4 | 93.5 | | 278,469 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 39 | 34 | 9 | 97.6 | | 554,747 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 42 | 15 | 99.2 | | 496,064 | * | 33 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 47 | 25 | 99.8 | | 430,192 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 37 | 99.9 | | 355,548 | * | 31 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 42 | 49 | 100.0 | | 281,034 | * | 30 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 61 | 100.0 | | 213,414 | * | 29 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 72 | 100.0 | | 153,381 | * | 28 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | Yes | 105,072 | * | 27 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 88 | Yes | 68,355 | * | 26 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 92 | Yes | 42,096 | * | 25 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 23,755 | * | 24 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 12,712 | * | 23 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 5,916 | * | 22 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 2,472 | * | 21 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 985 | * | 18 | -20 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 1,337 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 63.1 | % | 8,170,524 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |