Marine Title Chances 2014 50/50Lost to Skelmersdale 1-3, title odds down 0.005 to 0.003% 13 points 2-7-11 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | No | | | | +7.3 | | -0.5 | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | | | | | -1.1 | | +0.1 | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | | | | | -1.0 | | +0.1 | | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | | | | | -0.9 | | +0.1 | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | | | | | -0.8 | | +0.1 | | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | | | | | +0.5 | | | | Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 | | | | | +0.4 | | | | Blyth 1 Workington 0 | | | | | +0.4 | | | | Frickley 1 Whitby 1 | | | | | -0.3 | | +0.0 | | Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 | | | | | -0.2 | | *+0.0 | | Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 | | | | | -0.2 | | +0.0 | | Witton Albion 3 Nantwich 0 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Stourbridge 1 Halesowen 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Marine vs Witton Albion | +0.0NoNo | | | | -9.2+2.1+7.8 | | +0.6-0.1-0.5 | | Halesowen vs Marine | NoNo+0.0 | | No-0.0+0.0 | | +7.0+2.3-8.5 | | -0.5-0.1+0.5 | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | | | | | +1.3-0.3-1.1 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Grantham vs Frickley | | | | | -1.0-0.3+1.2 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | | | | | -1.0-0.3+1.2 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | | | | | +1.1-0.3-0.9 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Belper vs Workington | | | | | +1.0-0.2-0.8 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Matlock Town vs Belper | | | | | +0.5-0.6*-0.1 | | | | Frickley vs Nantwich | | | | | +0.1-0.5+0.2 | | | | Kings Lynn vs Stamford | | | | | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | | | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | | | | | +0.2*-0.1-0.2 | | | | Buxton vs Whitby | | | | | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Marine finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 70 | | 19 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 24.2 | % | 42.9 | % | 24 | 42 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 326 | | 68 | | 18 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | No | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1 | | 67 | | 18 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 33.3 | | 33.3 | | 33 | | 33 | | | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3 | | 66 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | No | | | 67 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3 | | 65 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | 33 | 67 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3 | | 64 | | 16 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 16.7 | | | | | 17 | 50 | 17 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12 | * | 63 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 11.1 | | | | | 15 | 30 | 30 | 26 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27 | | 62 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 4.3 | | | | | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 69 | * | 61 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 1.6 | | | | 1 | | 5 | 15 | 33 | 33 | 12 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 128 | * | 60 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 0.7 | | | | | 1 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 285 | * | 59 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 544 | * | 58 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 906 | * | 57 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 1,720 | * | 56 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 2,783 | * | 55 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 26 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 4,742 | * | 54 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 29 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 7,543 | * | 53 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 11,679 | * | 52 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 33 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 17,244 | * | 51 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | No | 24,713 | * | 50 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 34,459 | * | 49 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.2 | | 46,587 | * | 48 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | 1.1 | | 61,353 | * | 47 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 3.6 | | 78,491 | * | 46 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | 9.6 | | 97,317 | * | 45 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20.7 | | 117,167 | * | 44 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 36.0 | | 137,072 | * | 43 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 53.9 | | 157,285 | * | 42 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 71.1 | | 173,575 | * | 41 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 34 | 16 | 2 | 83.8 | | 185,990 | * | 40 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 24 | 5 | 91.7 | | 95,095 | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 38 | 26 | 6 | 92.8 | | 99,944 | * | 39 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 34 | 11 | 96.8 | | 197,912 | * | 38 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 98.9 | | 195,173 | * | 37 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 30 | 99.7 | | 186,985 | * | 36 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 42 | 99.9 | | 175,070 | * | 35 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 54 | 100.0 | | 157,359 | * | 34 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 66 | 100.0 | | 137,576 | * | 33 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 76 | 100.0 | | 117,208 | * | 32 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 100.0 | | 95,757 | * | 31 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 89 | Yes | 75,692 | * | 30 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | 58,421 | * | 29 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 43,491 | * | 28 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 31,114 | * | 27 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 21,327 | * | 26 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 14,021 | * | 25 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 8,756 | * | 24 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 5,149 | * | 22 | -23 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 4,427 | * | 21 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 817 | * | 13 | -20 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 1,023 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 28 | 74.5 | % | 2,884,344 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |