Marine Title Chances 2014Lost to Skelmersdale 1-3, title odds down 0.004 to 0.0004% 13 points 2-7-11 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | No | | No | | +4.3 | | -0.3 | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | | | | | -1.0 | | +0.1 | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | | | | | -0.8 | | +0.0 | | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | | | | | -0.5 | | +0.0 | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | | | | | -0.4 | | +0.0 | | Witton Albion 3 Nantwich 0 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Frickley 1 Whitby 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | Matlock Town 2 Trafford 4 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Workington 2 Stamford 0 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Halesowen vs Marine | No*No+0.0 | | NoNo+0.0 | | +3.6-0.3-9.7 | | -0.2+0.0+0.6 | | Marine vs Witton Albion | +0.0*NoNo | | +0.0NoNo | | -7.7+2.0+6.4 | | +0.5-0.1-0.4 | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | | | | | +1.5*-0.0-0.8 | | -0.1*-0.0+0.0 | | Grantham vs Frickley | | | | | -0.8*+0.0+1.3 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | | | | | -0.7*+0.0+1.4 | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | | | | | +1.0-0.1-0.7 | | | | Belper vs Workington | | | | | +0.8*-0.1-0.5 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Matlock Town vs Belper | | | | | +0.5-0.5-0.3 | | | | Frickley vs Nantwich | | | | | +0.2-0.5+0.2 | | | | Kings Lynn vs Stamford | | | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | | | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Marine finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 70 | | 19 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 3.1 | % | 27.0 | % | 3 | 19 | 40 | 28 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 921 | | 62 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | 33 | 67 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6 | * | 61 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | 11 | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9 | * | 60 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | 33 | 46 | 21 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24 | * | 59 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | 7 | 17 | 33 | 29 | 7 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 42 | * | 58 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | 2 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 22 | 13 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | No | 92 | * | 57 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 19 | 38 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | No | 196 | * | 56 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | | No | 367 | * | 55 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 21 | 34 | 26 | 9 | 2 | | | | | | | | No | 727 | * | 54 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 1,381 | * | 53 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 2,547 | * | 52 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 39 | 21 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | No | 4,434 | * | 51 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 33 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | No | 7,408 | * | 50 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 41 | 19 | 2 | 0 | | | | | No | 12,187 | * | 49 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 42 | 30 | 4 | 0 | | | | | No | 19,439 | * | 48 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 29,591 | * | 47 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 47 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | 0.1 | | 44,978 | * | 46 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.4 | | 65,352 | * | 45 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1.4 | | 91,982 | * | 44 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 41 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 3.8 | | 126,599 | * | 43 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 41 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8.9 | | 168,713 | * | 42 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 36 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18.0 | | 217,959 | * | 41 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 31.0 | | 274,052 | * | 40 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 47.3 | | 335,079 | * | 39 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 37 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 64.2 | | 395,802 | * | 38 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 36 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 78.6 | | 457,295 | * | 37 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 19 | 3 | 88.8 | | 244,947 | | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 38 | 20 | 3 | 89.6 | | 267,285 | * | 36 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 29 | 7 | 95.3 | | 553,536 | * | 35 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 39 | 13 | 98.4 | | 345,676 | | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 38 | 12 | 98.1 | | 236,594 | * | 34 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 44 | 21 | 99.5 | | 289,239 | | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 45 | 23 | 99.5 | | 301,568 | * | 33 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 46 | 34 | 99.9 | | 582,966 | * | 32 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 47 | 100.0 | | 557,542 | * | 31 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 59 | 100.0 | | 253,324 | | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 60 | 100.0 | | 261,108 | * | 30 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 71 | 100.0 | | 456,553 | * | 29 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 100.0 | | 393,051 | * | 28 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 87 | Yes | 324,125 | * | 27 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 257,030 | * | 26 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 194,895 | * | 25 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 141,719 | * | 24 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 98,164 | * | 23 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 64,670 | * | 22 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 40,505 | * | 21 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 23,708 | * | 20 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 13,011 | * | 19 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 6,488 | * | 13 | -18 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 5,638 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 22 | 34 | 82.4 | % | 8,170,524 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |