"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Kings Lynn 2 Ramsbottom 1 +0.1
+1.1
-0.1
+0.9
Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 -0.1
-0.1
Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 -0.0
-0.1
Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 -0.1
Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 -0.2
-0.0
Blyth 1 Workington 0 +0.1
Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 +0.1
Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 +0.1
Ashton United 4 Belper 3 -0.1
-0.0
Grantham 1 Blyth 7 +0.1
Stourbridge 1 Halesowen 1 +0.1
Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 -0.1
Frickley 1 Whitby 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Kings Lynn vs Stamford+0.2-0.1-0.2
+1.2-0.7-1.3
-0.0-0.0+0.1
+0.8-0.3-0.9
Workington vs Skelmersdale+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ramsbottom vs Skelmersdale+0.0+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Stamford vs Curzon Ashton+0.1+0.1-0.1
Grantham vs Ilkeston+0.1+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Buxton vs Whitby-0.1+0.1+0.2
Ilkeston vs Buxton*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Ashton United vs Matlock Town-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Nantwich vs Ramsbottom+0.2+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Belper vs Workington+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Blyth vs Stourbridge+0.0+0.1-0.1
Rushall Olympic vs Stourbridge+0.0+0.1-0.1
Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Halesowen vs Marine-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Grantham vs Frickley-0.1+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kings Lynn finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
8617-0-099.8%99.8%1000No921
83-84YesYes100No30*
8215-2-094.494.4946No54
8115-1-191.893.59281No170
8014-3-086.689.787130No321*
7914-2-178.183.6782020No842
7814-1-268.676.5692830No1,582*
7713-3-158.068.5583470No2,843*
7613-2-245.759.24641121No5,655*
7512-4-133.350.0334419400No9,766*
7412-3-222.141.6224327710No16,442*
7312-2-312.934.613373513200No27,615*
7211-4-26.529.87283821500No41,816*
7111-3-33.126.9318363011200No64,039*
7011-2-41.124.6110293619500No92,953*
6910-4-30.422.20419352910200No129,386*
6810-3-40.118.90210293519510No175,123*
679-5-30.014.5004193429112000No229,526*
669-4-40.09.5001102735216100No288,363*
659-3-5No5.2004173330133000No354,478*
648-5-4No2.300182434238100No417,392*
638-4-5No0.8003143031164100No477,152*
628-3-6No0.20016213326112000No531,672*
617-5-5No0.0002112632217100No568,720*
607-4-6No0.0001416302915400No589,721*
597-3-7No0.0001722322510200No320,892
6-6-5No0.000292333249100No274,255*
586-5-6NoNo0003132832195100No578,342*
576-4-7NoNo00161932281220No545,551*
566-3-8NoNo00210263421600No497,793*
555-5-7NoNo001417333212100No436,336*
545-4-8NoNo0019263722400No371,190*
535-3-9NoNo0004173732900No306,083*
524-5-8NoNo001930401810No240,990*
514-4-9NoNo004214328400No183,831*
504-3-10NoNo001123938810No134,648*
493-5-9NoNo0063046162000.0%94,664*
483-4-10NoNo0022047255000.062,887*
473-3-11NoNo00112423510100.040,823*
462-5-10NoNo0063241173000.225,105*
452-4-11NoNo022141277101.014,358*
442-3-12NoNo0112353515202.77,866*
431-5-11NoNo052637237107.84,064*
421-4-12NoNo2143432153017.81,960*
411-3-13NoNo082536237131.3869*
401-2-14NoNo3193130143046.6339*
390-4-13NoNo8233428769.0126*
380-3-14NoNo31337321684.238*
370-2-15NoNo2718459Yes11
350-0-17NoNo0730441899.7921
Total:0.3%2.9%0123579101111111097410000000.0%8,170,524

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship