SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

PS22 Love

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 +3.7
+4.4
No
+0.5
Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 -3.2
-3.5
No
-0.3
Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 +1.7
+1.3
+0.0
Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 -1.2
-1.0
-0.1
Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 -0.4
-0.5
-0.1
Ashton United 4 Belper 3 -0.3
-0.4
-0.1
Kings Lynn 2 Ramsbottom 1 +0.3
+0.4
Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 +0.3
+0.3
+0.0
Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 +0.2
+0.4
Blyth 1 Workington 0 +0.1
+0.2
Stourbridge 1 Halesowen 1 +0.1
+0.2
Grantham 1 Blyth 7 +0.2
Workington 2 Stamford 0 -0.2
Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 -0.1
Stamford 1 Grantham 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Ilkeston vs Buxton+6.0-2.3-6.3
+6.5-2.2-7.0
NoNo+0.0
+0.6-0.2-0.7
Grantham vs Ilkeston-5.6-2.5+5.2
-6.4-2.5+5.7
+0.0NoNo
-0.7-0.2+0.6
Workington vs Skelmersdale+2.0+0.8-2.2
+1.4+0.6-1.5
Ramsbottom vs Skelmersdale+1.7+0.8-2.0
+1.1+0.7-1.4
Stamford vs Curzon Ashton+1.7+0.8-1.3
+1.4+0.6-1.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton+0.7+0.8-1.2
+0.4+0.7-0.8
Ashton United vs Matlock Town-0.5+0.4+0.7
-0.6+0.4+0.8
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Buxton vs Whitby-0.6+0.3+0.6
-0.6+0.4+0.7
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Nantwich vs Ramsbottom+0.2+0.2-0.2
+0.4+0.2-0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Blyth vs Stourbridge+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3
Belper vs Workington+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.2
Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic+0.2*+0.1-0.2
Rushall Olympic vs Stourbridge*+0.1+0.2-0.2
Kings Lynn vs Stamford-0.1*+0.1+0.1
Halesowen vs Marine-0.1*+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ilkeston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
90-95YesYes100No1,821*
8915-3-099.9%99.9%1000No1,091*
8815-2-199.999.91000No2,431
8715-1-299.899.81000No4,407*
8614-3-199.699.71000No8,138*
8514-2-299.099.2991No14,794*
8413-4-198.198.69820No23,344*
8313-3-296.897.69730No37,724*
8213-2-394.095.59460No57,726*
8112-4-290.692.991900No83,362*
8012-3-385.489.1851410No119,563*
7912-2-478.683.9792010No162,242*
7811-4-369.677.2702730No212,508*
7711-3-459.269.45935600No271,206*
7610-5-347.560.647411110No331,870*
7510-4-436.052.036451720No394,807*
7410-3-524.843.6254525500No456,070*
739-5-415.736.81640331010No505,837*
729-4-58.731.59333917300No546,775*
719-3-63.627.542240277100No290,483
8-6-44.728.45254024600No282,759*
708-5-51.725.8214363313200No362,990
9-2-71.625.6214353414200No216,077*
698-4-60.623.9172738225100No570,333*
687-6-50.221.90318363011200No302,146*
8-3-70.121.002153432132000No242,865
677-5-60.017.90182736226100No503,087*
667-4-70.013.2003163330133000No449,248*
656-6-60.08.200182434238100No390,804*
646-5-7No4.1003143031175100No329,555*
636-4-8No1.7016203227123000No268,278*
625-6-7No0.5002102532228200No211,293*
615-5-8No0.1004142830175100No160,154*
605-4-9No0.0001619302713300No117,755*
594-6-8No0.000292331239200No84,164*
584-5-9NoNo000313283118510No57,851*
574-4-10NoNo001618322812200No37,850*
563-6-9NoNo00210243523610No23,976*
553-5-10NoNo0041533331320No14,565*
543-4-11NoNo001825382450No8,319*
532-6-10NoNo03163633111No4,707*
522-5-11NoNo1829411920No2,462*
512-4-12NoNo0321442840No1,159*
501-6-11NoNo174239110No587*
491-5-12NoNo052644213No235*
481-4-13NoNo119433241No112*
471-3-14NoNo163337122No51*
460-5-13NoNo29382410No21*
450-4-14NoNo100No1
410-0-18NoNo0522382581034.2%921
Total:16.4%31.2%1617171411864321100000000000.0%8,170,524

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:23 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)