SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 +0.1
+0.7
-3.4
+1.0
Stourbridge 1 Halesowen 1 -0.1
-0.3
+0.2
-0.2
Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 -0.1
-0.2
Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 -0.1
-0.3
Ashton United 4 Belper 3 -0.1
-0.4
Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 -0.2
Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 +0.1
Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 *-0.1
Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 *-0.1
Grantham 1 Blyth 7 +0.2
Matlock Town 2 Trafford 4 *+0.1
Frickley 1 Whitby 1 *-0.1
Witton Albion 3 Nantwich 0 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Halesowen vs Marine+0.1-0.1-0.1
+0.7-0.3-0.6
-1.9*-0.0+1.9
+1.0-0.2-0.8
Workington vs Skelmersdale-0.1+0.0+0.0
Stamford vs Curzon Ashton+0.0*+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ashton United vs Matlock Town-0.1*+0.0+0.1
-0.3-0.1+0.3
Nantwich vs Ramsbottom+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.3*-0.0-0.3
Buxton vs Whitby-0.1*+0.0+0.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Belper vs Workington+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic+0.0*+0.0-0.1
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Grantham vs Frickley-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Grantham vs Ilkeston-0.1+0.0+0.0
Matlock Town vs Belper+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Marine vs Witton Albion+0.0-0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Halesowen finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
8318-0-099.7%99.7%1000No326
8017-0-1YesYes100No2
7916-2-075.075.07525No4
7816-1-1YesYes100No13
7715-3-096.496.4964No28*
7615-2-176.481.976186No72
7515-1-275.580.9751951No110*
7414-3-164.072.7643060No286*
7314-2-251.963.95240610No592*
7213-4-137.553.13746152No1,014*
7113-3-229.246.8294521400No1,813*
7013-2-318.839.0194130920No3,328*
6912-4-29.732.210333617300No5,314*
6812-3-34.528.15243626810No8,549*
6712-2-41.725.2213323316400No13,331*
6611-4-30.522.41622342610200No19,577*
6511-3-40.118.702122832195100No28,543*
6410-5-30.013.601517322913300No39,337*
6310-4-4No8.001823322492000No53,136*
6210-3-5No3.700312273119610No70,168*
619-5-4No1.3014162929155100No88,729*
609-4-5No0.3001720312612300No108,733*
599-3-6No0.1002102331239200No130,832*
588-5-5No0.0003132630197100No151,151*
578-4-6No0.00015162929164100No170,105*
568-3-7NoNo001720312611200No186,304*
557-5-6NoNo000210253222710No196,804*
547-4-7NoNo001415303116400No203,042*
537-3-8NoNo001621342710100No202,320*
526-5-7NoNo0021128351940000.0%195,450*
516-4-8NoNo0004183531101000.0183,501*
505-6-7NoNo001928382040000.0167,474*
495-5-8NoNo003173630112000.1147,262*
485-4-9NoNo0182837205100.6124,480*
474-6-8NoNo003183530122002.3103,299*
464-5-9NoNo0192735216107.081,674*
454-4-10NoNo041733301330016.062,264*
443-6-9NoNo01926342271030.345,855*
433-5-10NoNo004163230143047.532,865*
423-4-11NoNo0182435247166.422,360*
413-3-12NoNo0315323314281.014,182*
402-5-11NoNo0018253724591.28,772*
392-4-12NoNo0131635351196.45,210*
382-3-13NoNo1928412199.02,947*
371-5-12NoNo00521443099.51,525*
361-4-13NoNo1134442Yes790*
351-3-14NoNo193357Yes339*
340-5-13NoNo133264Yes141*
330-4-14NoNo1783Yes46*
320-3-15NoNo694Yes16*
30-31NoNo100Yes3*
290-0-18NoNo397Yes326
Total:0.1%1.2%001123456791011111185321003.3%2,884,344

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:23 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)