Grantham Town Title Chances 2014 50/50Tied Stamford 1-1, title odds down 0.5 to 0.6% 36 points 10-6-8 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | -0.9 | | -2.4 | | +0.3 | | -0.9 | | Stamford 1 Grantham 1 | -0.3 | | -0.7 | | | | -0.2 | | Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 | +0.3 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | -0.2 | | -0.3 | | -0.1 | | | | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | -0.1 | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.0 | | -0.1 | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | -0.0 | | -0.1 | | Kings Lynn 2 Ramsbottom 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 | *+0.1 | | *+0.1 | | | | +0.0 | | Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 | | | *+0.1 | | | | *+0.0 | | Blyth 1 Workington 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Workington 2 Stamford 0 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | Stourbridge 1 Halesowen 1 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Frickley 1 Whitby 1 | | | | | | | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Grantham vs Ilkeston | +0.5-0.2-0.4 | | +2.1-0.6-1.7 | | -0.3*-0.0+0.3 | | +1.1-0.2-0.9 | | Grantham vs Frickley | +0.5-0.2-0.3 | | +1.9-0.6-1.5 | | -0.3-0.0+0.3 | | +1.0-0.2-0.9 | | Workington vs Skelmersdale | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Ramsbottom vs Skelmersdale | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1*+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Buxton vs Whitby | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | | -0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | | | Ilkeston vs Buxton | | | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | | | +0.1*+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.0 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Belper vs Workington | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Kings Lynn vs Stamford | | | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | | | | | Halesowen vs Marine | | | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Grantham finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 84 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.7 | % | 99.7 | % | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 327 | | 81 | -82 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20 | * | 80 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 90.9 | | 90.9 | | 91 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22 | | 79 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 93.7 | | 95.2 | | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 63 | | 78 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 90.6 | | 92.3 | | 91 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 117 | * | 77 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 83.3 | | 87.3 | | 83 | 16 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 354 | | 76 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 78.9 | | 84.1 | | 79 | 19 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 686 | * | 75 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 67.3 | | 75.5 | | 67 | 29 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,252 | * | 74 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 56.5 | | 67.3 | | 56 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,367 | * | 73 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 45.1 | | 58.8 | | 45 | 42 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,102 | * | 72 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 33.9 | | 50.4 | | 34 | 44 | 19 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,758 | * | 71 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 22.6 | | 42.0 | | 23 | 42 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,338 | * | 70 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 13.4 | | 35.0 | | 13 | 38 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17,133 | * | 69 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 7.3 | | 30.3 | | 7 | 29 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,903 | * | 68 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 3.2 | | 26.8 | | 3 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 37,614 | * | 67 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 1.1 | | 24.1 | | 1 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 51,472 | * | 66 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.3 | | 21.1 | | 0 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 70,460 | * | 65 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.1 | | 16.8 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 90,409 | * | 64 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 11.5 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 112,503 | * | 63 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 6.4 | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 137,443 | * | 62 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 2.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 161,007 | * | 61 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 0.9 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 180,611 | * | 60 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 199,263 | * | 59 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 117,686 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 93,215 | * | 58 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 214,590 | * | 57 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 126,259 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 87,899 | * | 56 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 117,114 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 86,247 | * | 55 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 188,115 | * | 54 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 167,485 | * | 53 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 143,641 | * | 52 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 118,128 | * | 51 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 34 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 93,969 | * | 50 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 71,184 | * | 49 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.2 | | 52,073 | * | 48 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1.0 | | 36,662 | * | 47 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 3.6 | | 24,172 | * | 46 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | 10.1 | | 15,260 | * | 45 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21.8 | | 9,015 | * | 44 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 38.5 | | 5,131 | * | 43 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 57.4 | | 2,768 | * | 42 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 74.7 | | 1,269 | * | 41 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 10 | 29 | 34 | 20 | 4 | 87.3 | | 581 | * | 40 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 93.7 | | 239 | * | 39 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 39 | 34 | 15 | Yes | 67 | * | 38 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 30 | 35 | 26 | Yes | 23 | | 37 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | Yes | 1 | | 36 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 8 | 40 | 50 | Yes | 327 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.6 | % | 3.8 | % | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | % | 2,884,344 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |