Grantham Town Title Chances 2014Tied Stamford 1-1, title odds down 0.1 to 0.1% 36 points 10-6-8 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | -0.5 | | -2.1 | | | | -0.8 | | Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 | +0.2 | | +0.1 | | | | | | Stamford 1 Grantham 1 | -0.1 | | -0.5 | | -0.0 | | -0.2 | | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | | | -0.2 | | | | -0.0 | | Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | +0.0 | | Kings Lynn 2 Ramsbottom 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | +0.0 | | Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | | | -0.1 | | | | -0.0 | | Workington 2 Stamford 0 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Blyth 1 Workington 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | | | | | | | -0.1 | | Frickley 1 Whitby 1 | | | | | | | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Grantham vs Ilkeston | +0.2-0.0-0.1 | | +1.4-0.2-0.8 | | | | +1.0-0.1-0.6 | | Grantham vs Frickley | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | +0.9-0.5-0.9 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | +0.7-0.3-0.9 | | Ramsbottom vs Skelmersdale | | | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Workington vs Skelmersdale | | | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | | | | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Buxton vs Whitby | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | | | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | | Belper vs Workington | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.0 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Blyth vs Stourbridge | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Halesowen vs Marine | | | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Grantham finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 84 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 98.4 | % | 98.7 | % | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 921 | | 82 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15 | | 81 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 86.4 | | 86.4 | | 86 | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22 | | 80 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 77.1 | | 82.9 | | 77 | 19 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 70 | | 79 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 71.8 | | 78.9 | | 72 | 26 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 213 | | 78 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 61.5 | | 71.1 | | 62 | 34 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 395 | * | 77 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 51.4 | | 63.6 | | 51 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 947 | | 76 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 41.7 | | 56.3 | | 42 | 43 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,968 | * | 75 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 31.1 | | 48.3 | | 31 | 45 | 20 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,703 | * | 74 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 19.9 | | 39.9 | | 20 | 43 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,331 | * | 73 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 12.0 | | 33.9 | | 12 | 36 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,323 | * | 72 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 6.0 | | 29.4 | | 6 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,249 | * | 71 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 2.7 | | 26.6 | | 3 | 18 | 37 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 34,968 | * | 70 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 1.0 | | 24.6 | | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 53,239 | * | 69 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.3 | | 22.3 | | 0 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 80,636 | * | 68 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | 19.0 | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 116,747 | * | 67 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 14.6 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 159,044 | * | 66 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 9.6 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 213,867 | * | 65 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 5.2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 275,927 | * | 64 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 2.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 342,749 | * | 63 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 0.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 414,084 | * | 62 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 479,755 | * | 61 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 536,472 | * | 60 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 584,574 | * | 59 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 341,955 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 269,128 | * | 58 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 618,071 | * | 57 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 353,440 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 250,132 | * | 56 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 568,784 | * | 55 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 514,754 | * | 54 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 38 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 452,098 | * | 53 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 381,798 | * | 52 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 40 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 308,339 | * | 51 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 43 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 241,853 | * | 50 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 179,766 | * | 49 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 46 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | No | 128,288 | * | 48 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 47 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 86,904 | * | 47 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 56,548 | * | 46 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 41 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.2 | | 35,168 | * | 45 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 22 | 41 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | 1.0 | | 20,187 | * | 44 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 12 | 35 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | | | 2.8 | | 11,122 | * | 43 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 27 | 38 | 23 | 6 | 1 | | | 6.7 | | 5,714 | * | 42 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 16 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | 17.0 | | 2,640 | * | 41 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 25 | 38 | 22 | 8 | 0 | | 30.4 | | 1,071 | * | 40 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 33 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 45.6 | | 454 | * | 39 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 21 | 34 | 28 | 10 | | 72.7 | | 128 | * | 38 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 5 | 21 | 47 | 16 | 3 | 86.8 | | 38 | | 37 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 67 | | | Yes | 3 | | 36 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 14 | 33 | 38 | 12 | 97.5 | | 922 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.1 | % | 1.9 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 8,170,524 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |