"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Frickley 1 Whitby 1 No
+1.5
-0.1
Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 -0.8
+0.0
Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 -1.5
+0.0
Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 -1.1
+0.0
Ashton United 4 Belper 3 -0.8
+0.0
Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 -0.7
+0.0
Witton Albion 3 Nantwich 0 +0.3
Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 +0.2
Grantham 1 Blyth 7 +0.2
Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 +0.2
Workington 2 Stamford 0 -0.1
Matlock Town 2 Trafford 4 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Grantham vs FrickleyNoNo+0.0
No-0.0+0.0
+7.1+0.2-11.5
-0.4-0.0+0.7
Frickley vs Nantwich+0.0NoNo
+0.0NoNo
-10.9+2.5+12.3
+0.6-0.2-0.6
Ashton United vs Matlock Town-1.2*-0.1+2.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Nantwich vs Ramsbottom+2.4*-0.1-1.3
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic+1.5-0.1-1.1
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Belper vs Workington+1.6-0.1-0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Halesowen vs Marine-0.7*+0.1+1.8
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Matlock Town vs Belper+0.8-1.0-0.3
Marine vs Witton Albion*+0.0-0.6+0.3
Stamford vs Curzon Ashton+0.3*+0.0-0.1
Kings Lynn vs Stamford-0.1*-0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Frickley finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
7116-0-07.2%30.3%728421940No921
6815-0-1NoNo5050No2
6714-2-0NoNo3367No3
6614-1-1No14.371443297No14
6513-3-0No6.3256313No16*
6413-2-1No1.67463882No61
6313-1-2No0.74222628164No134*
6212-3-1No0.631128322142No323*
6112-2-2No0.1161731261531No722*
6012-1-3NoNo282131251120No1,393*
5911-3-2NoNo0312272921610No2,719*
5811-2-3NoNo01516292916400No5,120*
5710-4-2NoNo01721312611200No8,937*
5610-3-3NoNo00211253222710No14,996*
5510-2-4NoNo00141530311530No25,188*
549-4-3NoNo0017223526810No38,752*
539-3-4NoNo0031331351630No59,575*
529-2-5NoNo001622382760No87,585*
518-4-4NoNo0021234371310No123,129*
508-3-5NoNo01625432320No170,571*
497-5-4NoNo0021642345000.0%226,394*
487-4-5NoNo00193544111000.0288,199*
477-3-6NoNo0042649182000.1359,003*
466-5-5NoNo0021749285000.3430,928*
456-4-6NoNo0010433791000.9496,272*
446-3-7NoNo0053443172002.5558,994*
435-5-6NoNo022444255005.8373,356*
6-2-8NoNo0222432661006.7229,799
425-4-7NoNo011439341120012.9625,856*
415-3-8NoNo00730392040024.3376,655
4-6-6NoNo0731391940022.5257,688*
404-5-7NoNo0321392881037.4344,853
5-2-9NoNo0320382991038.8268,079*
394-4-8NoNo01123335163054.4570,881*
384-3-9NoNo0062438257170.3514,590*
373-5-8NoNo00215353413283.1442,121*
363-4-9NoNo018273922491.6363,668*
353-3-10NoNo003183832896.5286,193*
342-5-9NoNo011033411598.7215,680*
332-4-10NoNo00524462499.6152,827*
322-3-11NoNo00216463699.9103,349*
311-5-10NoNo0194148100.065,409*
301-4-11NoNo0053560100.038,893*
291-3-12NoNo022672Yes21,346*
281-2-13NoNo011782Yes10,767*
270-4-12NoNo01288Yes4,923*
260-3-13NoNo0793Yes1,917*
250-2-14NoNo0496Yes639
240-1-15NoNo199Yes148
230-0-16NoNo0100Yes936
Total:0.0%0.0%00000000000013717191814107334.1%8,170,524

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship