Curzon Ashton Title Chances 2014 50/50Did not play, title odds down 3.5 to 21.6% 45 points 13-6-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | -2.5 | | -2.1 | | | | -0.1 | | Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 | +2.3 | | +1.8 | | | | +0.1 | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | -1.1 | | -1.0 | | | | -0.1 | | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | -0.9 | | -0.9 | | | | -0.1 | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | -0.9 | | -0.9 | | | | -0.1 | | Kings Lynn 2 Ramsbottom 1 | +0.7 | | +0.6 | | | | | | Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | +0.4 | | +0.4 | | | | +0.0 | | Blyth 1 Workington 0 | +0.4 | | +0.4 | | | | | | Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 | +0.3 | | +0.3 | | | | +0.0 | | Workington 2 Stamford 0 | -0.3 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 | +0.3 | | +0.3 | | | | +0.0 | | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | | | | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | -0.2 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Stourbridge 1 Halesowen 1 | *+0.1 | | *+0.2 | | | | | | Stamford 1 Grantham 1 | *+0.1 | | *+0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton | -7.3-1.9+8.5 | | -7.5-1.7+8.6 | | +0.0NoNo | | -0.7-0.1+0.7 | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | -6.2-2.0+7.5 | | -6.5-1.8+7.7 | | | | -0.6-0.1+0.7 | | Workington vs Skelmersdale | +2.0+0.9-2.6 | | +1.4+0.8-1.9 | | | | | | Ramsbottom vs Skelmersdale | +1.8+1.0-2.4 | | +1.2+0.8-1.7 | | | | | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | -1.2+0.4+1.0 | | -1.1+0.3+0.9 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Grantham vs Ilkeston | +0.8+0.4-1.1 | | +0.7+0.4-0.9 | | | | | | Buxton vs Whitby | -1.0+0.3+0.8 | | -0.9+0.2+0.8 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Ilkeston vs Buxton | -0.4+0.6*+0.0 | | -0.3+0.5*-0.0 | | | | | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | | +0.5+0.2-0.6 | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Belper vs Workington | +0.2*+0.1-0.3 | | +0.3*+0.1-0.4 | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | | +0.3*+0.1-0.3 | | | | | | Blyth vs Stourbridge | +0.1*+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2*+0.1-0.3 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Curzon Ashton finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 88 | -96 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 891 | * | 87 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.8 | % | 99.8 | % | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 607 | * | 86 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.8 | | 99.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,239 | * | 85 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.8 | | 99.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,085 | * | 84 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.7 | | 99.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,607 | * | 83 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.4 | | 99.6 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,049 | * | 82 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 98.8 | | 99.1 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,553 | * | 81 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 97.5 | | 98.1 | | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,108 | * | 80 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 96.2 | | 97.2 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,577 | * | 79 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 94.2 | | 95.6 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,431 | * | 78 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 90.2 | | 92.6 | | 90 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 45,625 | * | 77 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 85.2 | | 88.9 | | 85 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 61,187 | * | 76 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 78.5 | | 83.9 | | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 79,483 | * | 75 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 69.9 | | 77.5 | | 70 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 100,249 | * | 74 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 59.8 | | 69.9 | | 60 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 122,273 | * | 73 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 48.2 | | 61.1 | | 48 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 143,737 | * | 72 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 36.3 | | 52.3 | | 36 | 45 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 166,363 | * | 71 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 25.7 | | 44.3 | | 26 | 45 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 107,244 | | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 24.1 | | 43.1 | | 24 | 44 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 77,768 | * | 70 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 15.1 | | 36.3 | | 15 | 40 | 33 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 198,428 | * | 69 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 7.6 | | 30.6 | | 8 | 30 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 114,234 | | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 9.0 | | 31.7 | | 9 | 32 | 37 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 93,009 | * | 68 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 3.9 | | 27.5 | | 4 | 21 | 37 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 124,598 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 3.5 | | 27.1 | | 3 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 84,799 | * | 67 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 1.2 | | 24.5 | | 1 | 11 | 30 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 133,779 | | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 1.4 | | 24.8 | | 1 | 12 | 30 | 34 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 71,109 | * | 66 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 0.3 | | 21.4 | | 0 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 99,954 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 0.4 | | 22.2 | | 0 | 5 | 21 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 93,619 | * | 65 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 0.1 | | 18.0 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 106,517 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 9 | 0.1 | | 17.6 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 69,770 | * | 64 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 12.5 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 156,385 | * | 63 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 6.6 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 66,943 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 7.6 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 66,736 | * | 62 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | 3.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 110,543 | * | 61 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | 1.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 87,356 | * | 60 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 67,526 | * | 59 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 48,975 | * | 58 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 34,040 | * | 57 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 23,334 | * | 56 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 14,731 | * | 55 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 8,862 | * | 54 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 5,348 | * | 53 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 13 | 32 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | No | 2,840 | * | 52 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 1,407 | * | 51 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 9 | 29 | 40 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | | | No | 646 | * | 50 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.3 | % | 300 | * | 49 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 31 | 35 | 20 | 2 | 2 | | | | 1.9 | | 106 | * | 48 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 24 | 24 | 30 | 16 | 3 | | | | 2.7 | | 37 | * | 47 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 55 | 27 | 9 | 9 | | | | 9.1 | | 11 | | 45 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 10 | 25 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 2 | | 29.1 | | 326 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 21.6 | % | 35.5 | % | 22 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 2,884,344 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |