Buxton Title Chances 2014Beat Matlock Town 3-2, title odds up 1.1 to 8.3% 42 points 12-6-6 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | +2.4 | | +3.8 | | | | +0.6 | | Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 | -1.7 | | -2.3 | | | | -0.3 | | Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 | +1.0 | | +0.7 | | | | | | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | -0.7 | | -0.6 | | | | -0.0 | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | -0.4 | | -0.5 | | | | -0.1 | | Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 | +0.3 | | +0.4 | | | | +0.0 | | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | -0.2 | | -0.4 | | | | -0.1 | | Kings Lynn 2 Ramsbottom 1 | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | | | | | Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | +0.1 | | +0.4 | | | | +0.1 | | Blyth 1 Workington 0 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Stourbridge 1 Halesowen 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | | | +0.3 | | | | | | Workington 2 Stamford 0 | | | -0.2 | | | | | | Stamford 1 Grantham 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Ilkeston vs Buxton | -3.5-0.7+5.3 | | -4.8-0.7+7.0 | | +0.0NoNo | | -0.6-0.0+0.9 | | Buxton vs Whitby | +3.1-1.8-3.6 | | +4.5-2.3-5.4 | | NoNo+0.0 | | +0.6-0.3-0.8 | | Workington vs Skelmersdale | +1.1+0.4-1.2 | | +0.7+0.4-0.8 | | | | | | Ramsbottom vs Skelmersdale | +1.0+0.5-1.2 | | +0.5+0.4-0.7 | | | | | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | +1.0+0.4-0.8 | | +0.9+0.4-0.7 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Grantham vs Ilkeston | +0.6+0.3-0.6 | | +0.6+0.3-0.6 | | | | | | Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton | +0.3+0.5-0.6 | | +0.1+0.4-0.3 | | | | | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | -0.4+0.2+0.5 | | -0.5+0.3+0.7 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | +0.2+0.1-0.1 | | +0.5+0.2-0.4 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Belper vs Workington | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.3+0.2-0.2 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | | Blyth vs Stourbridge | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Rushall Olympic vs Stourbridge | | | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | | | | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Kings Lynn vs Stamford | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Grantham vs Frickley | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Halesowen vs Marine | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Whitby vs Blyth | | | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Buxton finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 90 | -93 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,016 | * | 89 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.4 | % | 99.4 | % | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 178 | | 88 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 419 | | 87 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.6 | | 99.6 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 736 | * | 86 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.6 | | 99.7 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,966 | | 85 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 98.5 | | 98.9 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,641 | * | 84 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 97.8 | | 98.3 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,656 | * | 83 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 95.8 | | 96.8 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,810 | * | 82 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 92.8 | | 94.6 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20,255 | * | 81 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 88.9 | | 91.6 | | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 33,566 | * | 80 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 83.1 | | 87.3 | | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 52,946 | * | 79 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 75.4 | | 81.5 | | 75 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 77,027 | * | 78 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 65.6 | | 74.2 | | 66 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 112,714 | * | 77 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 54.6 | | 65.9 | | 55 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 155,558 | * | 76 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 42.8 | | 57.1 | | 43 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 204,976 | * | 75 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 31.0 | | 48.2 | | 31 | 45 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 265,788 | * | 74 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 20.6 | | 40.4 | | 21 | 43 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 328,395 | * | 73 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 12.4 | | 34.3 | | 12 | 37 | 36 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 394,564 | * | 72 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 6.5 | | 29.8 | | 7 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 459,296 | * | 71 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 3.0 | | 27.0 | | 3 | 19 | 38 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 515,642 | * | 70 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 1.1 | | 25.1 | | 1 | 11 | 32 | 37 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 557,756 | * | 69 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 0.3 | | 23.1 | | 0 | 5 | 21 | 38 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 331,769 | | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 0.4 | | 23.6 | | 0 | 6 | 24 | 39 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 256,605 | * | 68 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 0.1 | | 20.7 | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 34 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 598,952 | * | 67 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 16.9 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 37 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 588,653 | * | 66 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 11.6 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 286,171 | | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 12.7 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 275,239 | * | 65 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 7.3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 515,738 | * | 64 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 3.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 459,479 | * | 63 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | 1.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 396,268 | * | 62 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | 0.4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 328,426 | * | 61 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 264,547 | * | 60 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 203,775 | * | 59 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 151,590 | * | 58 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 109,249 | * | 57 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 75,369 | * | 56 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 49,516 | * | 55 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 33 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 31,478 | * | 54 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 26 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 19,061 | * | 53 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 36 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 10,585 | * | 52 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 41 | 23 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | No | 5,922 | * | 51 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 36 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | No | 2,906 | * | 50 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 45 | 13 | 1 | | | | | | No | 1,374 | * | 49 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 25 | 50 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | No | 645 | * | 48 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 53 | 26 | 5 | | | | | | No | 255 | * | 47 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 33 | 45 | 9 | 2 | | | | | No | 92 | * | 46 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 30 | 35 | 26 | | 4 | | | | 4.3 | % | 23 | * | 45 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 29 | 43 | 29 | | | | | No | 7 | | 44 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 25 | 50 | | | | | | No | 4 | | 42 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0 | | 20.7 | | 921 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 8.3 | % | 21.9 | % | 8 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 8,170,524 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |