Blyth Spartans Title Chances 2014 50/50Beat Workington 1-0, title odds up 0.06 to 0.3% 29 points 8-5-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Blyth 1 Workington 0 | +0.2 | | +0.9 | | -2.6 | | +1.0 | | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | +0.1 | | +0.6 | | -4.1 | | +1.0 | | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | | | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | | | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 | | | | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | | | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | | | -0.1 | | -0.5 | | | | Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Frickley 1 Whitby 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | Matlock Town 2 Trafford 4 | | | | | *+0.1 | | | | Witton Albion 3 Nantwich 0 | | | | | *+0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Blyth vs Stourbridge | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | +1.2-0.4-0.9 | | -1.3+0.1+1.2 | | +1.0-0.2-0.9 | | Whitby vs Blyth | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | | -0.9-0.4+1.1 | | +1.2*+0.0-1.3 | | -0.9-0.2+1.1 | | Ramsbottom vs Skelmersdale | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | | | Workington vs Skelmersdale | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | | | | Buxton vs Whitby | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | | | | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | | | Belper vs Workington | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2-0.1-0.2 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | | | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | | | Grantham vs Frickley | | | | | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | | | | Halesowen vs Marine | | | | | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | | Matlock Town vs Belper | | | | | +0.1-0.1*+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Blyth finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 80 | -86 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 346 | * | 79 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 96.7 | % | 96.7 | % | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30 | | 78 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 92.4 | | 93.9 | | 92 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 66 | * | 77 | | 15 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 85.1 | | 88.8 | | 85 | 15 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 134 | * | 76 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 75.4 | | 81.3 | | 75 | 23 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 284 | * | 75 | | 14 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 68.3 | | 76.2 | | 68 | 28 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 458 | * | 74 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 57.6 | | 68.1 | | 58 | 36 | 6 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 945 | * | 73 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 47.5 | | 60.6 | | 48 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,747 | * | 72 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 36.6 | | 52.4 | | 37 | 44 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,763 | * | 71 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 25.5 | | 44.1 | | 25 | 43 | 25 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,653 | * | 70 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 15.2 | | 36.3 | | 15 | 39 | 32 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,561 | * | 69 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 8.4 | | 31.2 | | 8 | 31 | 37 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,480 | * | 68 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 4.0 | | 27.6 | | 4 | 21 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17,280 | * | 67 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 1.5 | | 24.8 | | 2 | 11 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,625 | * | 66 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.3 | | 21.8 | | 0 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 34,688 | * | 65 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.1 | | 18.1 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 46,660 | * | 64 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 12.9 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 61,405 | * | 63 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 7.7 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 78,385 | * | 62 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 3.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 96,911 | * | 61 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 1.2 | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 117,481 | * | 60 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 0.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 137,555 | * | 59 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 156,727 | * | 58 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 173,062 | * | 57 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 186,769 | * | 56 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 195,397 | * | 55 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 198,147 | * | 54 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 195,041 | * | 53 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 187,600 | * | 52 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 35 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 173,942 | * | 51 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 157,392 | * | 50 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 37 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 137,612 | * | 49 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.1 | | 116,844 | * | 48 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | 0.7 | | 96,174 | * | 47 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 2.8 | | 76,401 | * | 46 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 36 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 7.9 | | 58,480 | * | 45 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17.9 | | 43,156 | * | 44 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 32.9 | | 30,827 | * | 43 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 51.4 | | 21,173 | * | 42 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 68.9 | | 13,821 | * | 41 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 82.6 | | 8,734 | * | 40 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 38 | 26 | 6 | 92.2 | | 5,236 | * | 39 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 34 | 12 | 97.0 | | 2,965 | * | 38 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 8 | 26 | 45 | 20 | 98.8 | | 1,606 | * | 37 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 17 | 45 | 34 | 99.8 | | 803 | * | 36 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 44 | 42 | 99.7 | | 389 | * | 35 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 39 | 54 | Yes | 157 | * | 34 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 36 | 64 | Yes | 74 | * | 33 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | 83 | Yes | 23 | * | 32 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 67 | Yes | 6 | | 30 | -31 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 3 | * | 29 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | Yes | 326 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.3 | % | 2.0 | % | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | % | 2,884,344 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |