SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Blyth 1 Workington 0 +0.1
+0.7
-0.3
+0.8
Grantham 1 Blyth 7 +0.3
-1.7
+0.8
Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 -0.1
Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 -0.1
Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 -0.1
Ashton United 4 Belper 3 -0.1
Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 +0.1
-0.1
Frickley 1 Whitby 1 +0.0
Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Blyth vs Stourbridge+0.2-0.1-0.1
+1.1-0.4-1.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
+0.8-0.2-0.8
Whitby vs Blyth-0.1-0.1+0.1
-0.9-0.4+1.0
+0.1-0.0-0.1
-0.8-0.2+0.8
Workington vs Skelmersdale-0.1+0.0+0.1
Ramsbottom vs Skelmersdale-0.1+0.0*+0.0
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Stamford vs Curzon Ashton+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Grantham vs Ilkeston+0.1+0.0-0.1
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Ashton United vs Matlock Town-0.1+0.1+0.1
Ilkeston vs Buxton*-0.0+0.1-0.0
Buxton vs Whitby-0.1+0.1+0.1
Nantwich vs Ramsbottom+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.0
Belper vs Workington+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic+0.1+0.0-0.1
Grantham vs Frickley-0.1+0.0+0.1
Halesowen vs Marine-0.1+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blyth finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
8619-0-099.7%99.7%1000No921
83-84YesYes100No17*
8217-2-095.895.8964No24
8117-1-185.588.286123No76
8016-3-083.687.484142No183*
7916-2-172.979.573252No420
7816-1-269.677.2702730No863*
7715-3-155.966.9563770No1,621*
7615-2-244.758.545421210No3,152*
7514-4-133.049.733442030No5,502*
7414-3-222.141.5224526610No9,636*
7314-2-313.835.414383412200No16,157*
7213-4-27.130.37293820400No25,715*
7113-3-33.427.23203829910No39,682*
7013-2-41.325.0111313517400No58,642*
6912-4-30.422.905223627810No84,631*
6812-3-40.120.00212313416300No117,658*
6711-5-30.015.90162136269100No157,289*
6611-4-40.010.9002123034184100No204,384*
6511-3-50.06.30015203428112000No258,609*
6410-5-4No2.9002102734206100No316,376*
6310-4-5No1.10004163230144000No374,435*
6210-3-6No0.3001823332492000No431,142*
619-5-5No0.1003132831196100No483,425*
609-4-6No0.00015183128133000No522,307*
598-6-5No0.0000292332239100No550,268*
588-5-6NoNo000314283117500No565,447*
578-4-7NoNo0001620332711200No560,659*
567-6-6NoNo000211273421500No541,229*
557-5-7NoNo00151834311110No506,920*
547-4-8NoNo0002927372040No460,611*
536-6-7NoNo0004183831800No407,067*
526-5-8NoNo0011032401610No346,962*
516-4-9NoNo004234326300No288,768*
505-6-8NoNo002144037700No230,357*
495-5-9NoNo0073345131000.0%178,896*
485-4-10NoNo0032348223000.0134,544*
474-6-9NoNo0011445328100.097,987*
464-5-10NoNo0073639152000.168,516*
454-4-11NoNo0032641245000.546,028*
443-6-10NoNo0115383211201.830,140*
433-5-11NoNo082937215005.118,526*
423-4-12NoNo03193629112012.911,048*
412-6-11NoNo01103036185023.66,242*
402-5-12NoNo05203528111040.03,286*
392-4-13NoNo01112837184059.61,705*
381-6-12NoNo032038298175.9881*
371-5-13NoNo19283721390.1384*
361-4-14NoNo17214322591.5165*
351-3-15NoNo51529371394.775*
341-2-16NoNo315613Yes16*
330-4-15NoNo204040Yes5*
320-3-16NoNo252550Yes4
290-0-19NoNo001387Yes921
Total:0.2%2.1%0112457891011111110621000000.1%8,170,524

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:23 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)