Belper Town Title Chances 2014 50/50Lost to Ilkeston 2-3, title odds down 0.003 to 0.0005% 16 points 3-7-15 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | No | | | | +8.2 | | -0.6 | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | No | | | | +7.4 | | -0.5 | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | | | | | -1.0 | | +0.1 | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | | | | | -1.0 | | +0.1 | | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | | | | | -0.9 | | +0.1 | | Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | | | | | +0.5 | | | | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | | | | | +0.5 | | | | Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 | | | | | -0.3 | | *+0.0 | | Blyth 1 Workington 0 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | Frickley 1 Whitby 1 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | Witton Albion 3 Nantwich 0 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 | | | | | *-0.2 | | *+0.0 | | Stamford 1 Grantham 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Stourbridge 1 Halesowen 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Belper vs Workington | | | +0.0NoNo | | -8.5+2.2+7.0 | | +0.5-0.1-0.4 | | Matlock Town vs Belper | | | NoNo+0.0 | | +8.3+2.1-9.7 | | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | | | | | +1.4-0.2-1.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Grantham vs Frickley | | | | | -1.1-0.2+1.3 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | | | | | -1.1-0.3+1.3 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | | | | | +1.1*-0.1-1.0 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Halesowen vs Marine | | | | | -0.6-0.3+0.8 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Marine vs Witton Albion | | | | | *-0.0-0.5+0.4 | | | | Frickley vs Nantwich | | | | | *+0.1-0.5+0.3 | | | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | | | | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | | | Buxton vs Whitby | | | | | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | | | | Kings Lynn vs Stamford | | | | | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | | | | Blyth vs Stourbridge | | | | | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Belper finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 4.3 | % | 27.6 | % | 4 | 17 | 34 | 28 | 14 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 326 | | 64 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1 | | 63 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 5.9 | | | | 6 | 6 | 24 | 29 | 29 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17 | | 62 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | 7 | 26 | 41 | 15 | 11 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27 | | 61 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 2.3 | | | | | 2 | 7 | 28 | 33 | 26 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 43 | * | 60 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | 10 | 23 | 35 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 147 | | 59 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 32 | 18 | 7 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 294 | * | 58 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | No | 586 | * | 57 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 28 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 1 | | | | | | | | | No | 1,190 | * | 56 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 2,071 | * | 55 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,515 | * | 54 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 6,144 | * | 53 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | No | 9,634 | * | 52 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 15,233 | * | 51 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 32 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 22,641 | * | 50 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | | 32,391 | * | 49 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 36 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.3 | | 45,560 | * | 48 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 1.3 | | 61,133 | * | 47 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 4.5 | | 78,709 | * | 46 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11.1 | | 100,105 | * | 45 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23.1 | | 121,950 | * | 44 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 39.3 | | 144,760 | * | 43 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 57.3 | | 165,928 | * | 42 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 72.5 | | 106,656 | | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 74.9 | | 77,970 | * | 41 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 85.5 | | 198,307 | * | 40 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 38 | 28 | 7 | 93.8 | | 114,216 | | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 92.6 | | 93,212 | * | 39 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 35 | 12 | 97.2 | | 124,086 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 36 | 13 | 97.4 | | 84,572 | * | 38 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 42 | 21 | 99.1 | | 135,405 | * | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 29 | 42 | 20 | 99.0 | | 69,156 | * | 37 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 44 | 33 | 99.7 | | 100,466 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 30 | 99.7 | | 94,322 | * | 36 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 44 | 99.9 | | 106,833 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 45 | 99.9 | | 70,513 | * | 35 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 56 | 100.0 | | 156,593 | * | 34 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 68 | 100.0 | | 133,935 | * | 33 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | Yes | 110,078 | * | 32 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 85 | Yes | 87,096 | * | 31 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | Yes | 66,986 | * | 30 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | 48,728 | * | 29 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 34,499 | * | 28 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 23,454 | * | 27 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 14,848 | * | 26 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 9,175 | * | 25 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 5,165 | * | 24 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,762 | * | 23 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,425 | * | 16 | -22 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 1,481 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 16 | 20 | 27 | 75.2 | % | 2,884,344 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |