Ashton United Title Chances 2014 50/50Did not play, title odds down 2.4 to 12.9% 40 points 11-7-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed | Ashton United 4 Belper 3 | +4.0 | | +5.5 | | +0.8 | | Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 | -1.7 | | -1.5 | | -0.1 | | Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 | +1.1 | | +0.9 | | | | Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 | -0.7 | | -0.8 | | -0.1 | | Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 | -0.6 | | -0.7 | | -0.1 | | Blyth 1 Workington 0 | +0.3 | | +0.3 | | +0.0 | | Kings Lynn 2 Ramsbottom 1 | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | | | Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 | +0.2 | | +0.3 | | | | Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 | +0.2 | | *+0.2 | | +0.0 | | Stourbridge 1 Halesowen 1 | +0.2 | | +0.2 | | | | Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 | +0.2 | | *+0.2 | | +0.0 | | Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | Workington 2 Stamford 0 | | | -0.2 | | | | Grantham 1 Blyth 7 | | | +0.2 | | | | Stamford 1 Grantham 1 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 12/28 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed | Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton | +6.3-1.4-5.3 | | +7.3-1.5-6.3 | | +0.8-0.1-0.8 | | Ashton United vs Matlock Town | +5.2-1.5-4.2 | | +6.3-1.6-5.2 | | +0.8-0.1-0.7 | | Workington vs Skelmersdale | +1.3+0.6-1.6 | | +0.8+0.5-1.2 | | | | Ramsbottom vs Skelmersdale | +1.2+0.6-1.6 | | +0.8+0.5-1.1 | | | | Stamford vs Curzon Ashton | +0.9+0.3-1.2 | | +0.8+0.3-1.0 | | | | Buxton vs Whitby | -0.7+0.2+0.6 | | -0.7+0.2+0.6 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Grantham vs Ilkeston | +0.5+0.3-0.6 | | +0.4+0.3-0.6 | | | | Ilkeston vs Buxton | -0.1+0.5-0.2 | | *-0.1+0.4-0.2 | | | | Nantwich vs Ramsbottom | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Belper vs Workington | +0.1*+0.0-0.2 | | +0.3*+0.1-0.3 | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | Blyth vs Stourbridge | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | *+0.1+0.2-0.2 | | | | Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic | | | +0.2*+0.1-0.2 | | | | Kings Lynn vs Stamford | | | -0.2*+0.1+0.1 | | | | Grantham vs Frickley | | | -0.2*+0.1+0.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Rushall Olympic vs Stourbridge | | | *+0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Ashton United finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 87 | -97 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 848 | * | 86 | | 14 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 99.8 | % | 99.8 | % | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 520 | * | 85 | | 14 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.7 | | 99.7 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 981 | * | 84 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.8 | | 99.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,727 | * | 83 | | 13 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 99.4 | | 99.5 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,808 | * | 82 | | 13 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 98.6 | | 98.9 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,691 | * | 81 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 97.6 | | 98.2 | | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,255 | * | 80 | | 12 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 95.5 | | 96.6 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,570 | * | 79 | | 12 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 92.8 | | 94.6 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17,066 | * | 78 | | 11 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 89.3 | | 92.0 | | 89 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,560 | * | 77 | | 11 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 83.9 | | 87.9 | | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 34,248 | * | 76 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 76.4 | | 82.3 | | 76 | 22 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 46,492 | * | 75 | | 10 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 67.4 | | 75.6 | | 67 | 29 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 61,513 | * | 74 | | 10 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 56.8 | | 67.6 | | 57 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 78,230 | * | 73 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 45.3 | | 58.9 | | 45 | 42 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 97,294 | * | 72 | | 9 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 33.4 | | 50.0 | | 33 | 45 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 117,992 | * | 71 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 22.5 | | 41.9 | | 23 | 43 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 136,890 | * | 70 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 12.6 | | 34.4 | | 13 | 37 | 35 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 76,045 | | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 14.2 | | 35.6 | | 14 | 39 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 80,329 | * | 69 | | 8 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 6.9 | | 30.1 | | 7 | 29 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 173,042 | * | 68 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 3.1 | | 26.8 | | 3 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 186,553 | * | 67 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 1.2 | | 24.5 | | 1 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 94,638 | | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 1.0 | | 24.0 | | 1 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 100,241 | * | 66 | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 0.3 | | 21.3 | | 0 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 198,160 | * | 65 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 8 | 0.1 | | 16.8 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 115,020 | | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 0.1 | | 17.7 | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 80,853 | * | 64 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 12.5 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 111,029 | * | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 11.0 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 76,130 | | 63 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | 6.7 | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 174,656 | * | 62 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | 2.8 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 157,239 | * | 61 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | 0.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 138,416 | * | 60 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | 0.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 117,315 | * | 59 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 95,806 | * | 58 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 76,422 | * | 57 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 58,326 | * | 56 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 43,231 | * | 55 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 30,917 | * | 54 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 21,130 | * | 53 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | No | 13,855 | * | 52 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 8,812 | * | 51 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | | | No | 5,254 | * | 50 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 37 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | 0.1 | % | 2,929 | * | 49 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 38 | 19 | 5 | 0 | | | | 0.3 | | 1,582 | * | 48 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 19 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 2 | | | | 2.3 | | 767 | * | 47 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 35 | 17 | 5 | 1 | | | 6.0 | | 386 | * | 46 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 27 | 14 | 2 | | | 15.9 | | 157 | * | 45 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 6 | 18 | 49 | 19 | 4 | | | 23.9 | | 67 | * | 44 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 28 | 39 | 17 | 6 | | 61.1 | | 18 | * | 43 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 25 | 50 | 13 | | | 62.5 | | 8 | * | 40 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 19 | 40 | 31 | 6 | 96.3 | | 326 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 12.9 | % | 25.3 | % | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 2,884,344 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |