How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Ashton United 4 Belper 3 +4.0
+5.5
+0.8
Skelmersdale 3 Marine 1 -1.7
-1.5
-0.1
Halesowen 2 Skelmersdale 0 +1.1
+0.9
Buxton 3 Matlock Town 2 -0.7
-0.8
-0.1
Belper 2 Ilkeston 3 -0.6
-0.7
-0.1
Blyth 1 Workington 0 +0.3
+0.3
+0.0
Kings Lynn 2 Ramsbottom 1 +0.2
+0.3
Whitby 1 Stourbridge 0 +0.2
+0.3
Ilkeston 1 Witton Albion 1 +0.2
*+0.2
+0.0
Stourbridge 1 Halesowen 1 +0.2
+0.2
Nantwich 1 Buxton 1 +0.2
*+0.2
+0.0
Trafford 0 Rushall Olympic 3 -0.1
-0.3
Workington 2 Stamford 0 -0.2
Grantham 1 Blyth 7 +0.2
Stamford 1 Grantham 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/28100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Ashton United vs Curzon Ashton+6.3-1.4-5.3
+7.3-1.5-6.3
+0.8-0.1-0.8
Ashton United vs Matlock Town+5.2-1.5-4.2
+6.3-1.6-5.2
+0.8-0.1-0.7
Workington vs Skelmersdale+1.3+0.6-1.6
+0.8+0.5-1.2
Ramsbottom vs Skelmersdale+1.2+0.6-1.6
+0.8+0.5-1.1
Stamford vs Curzon Ashton+0.9+0.3-1.2
+0.8+0.3-1.0
Buxton vs Whitby-0.7+0.2+0.6
-0.7+0.2+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Grantham vs Ilkeston+0.5+0.3-0.6
+0.4+0.3-0.6
Ilkeston vs Buxton-0.1+0.5-0.2
*-0.1+0.4-0.2
Nantwich vs Ramsbottom+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.4+0.2-0.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Belper vs Workington+0.1*+0.0-0.2
+0.3*+0.1-0.3
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Blyth vs Stourbridge*+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.1+0.2-0.2
Witton Albion vs Rushall Olympic+0.2*+0.1-0.2
Kings Lynn vs Stamford-0.2*+0.1+0.1
Grantham vs Frickley-0.2*+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Rushall Olympic vs Stourbridge*+0.0+0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ashton United finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
87-97YesYes100No848*
8614-4-199.8%99.8%1000No520*
8514-3-299.799.71000No981*
8414-2-399.899.81000No1,727*
8313-4-299.499.5991No2,808*
8213-3-398.698.9991No4,691*
8113-2-497.698.2982No7,255*
8012-4-395.596.69640No11,570*
7912-3-492.894.69370No17,066*
7811-5-389.392.0891000No24,560*
7711-4-483.987.98415100No34,248*
7611-3-576.482.3762220No46,492*
7510-5-467.475.6672940No61,513*
7410-4-556.867.65736700No78,230*
7310-3-645.358.9454212100No97,294*
729-5-533.450.0334519300No117,992*
719-4-622.541.9234327710No136,890*
709-3-712.634.413373513200No76,045
8-6-514.235.61439341120No80,329*
698-5-66.930.172938215100No173,042*
688-4-73.126.83183630112000No186,553*
677-6-61.224.511029351951000No94,638
8-3-81.024.0192735216100No100,241*
667-5-70.321.30418332912300No198,160*
657-4-80.116.801824342381000No115,020
6-7-60.117.701102633217100No80,853*
646-6-70.012.500415303015410No111,029*
7-3-90.011.0003132932185100No76,130
636-5-8No6.701620312612300No174,656*
626-4-9No2.8002924322392000No157,239*
615-6-8No0.90003132730197100No138,416*
605-5-9No0.20015162928155100No117,315*
595-4-10No0.0001720302612300No95,806*
584-6-9No0.0002923312310200No76,422*
574-5-10NoNo003122631207100No58,326*
564-4-11NoNo01416302915400No43,231*
553-6-10NoNo00172033261120No30,917*
543-5-11NoNo00210263322610No21,130*
533-4-12NoNo0031531321530No13,855*
522-6-11NoNo016223626810No8,812*
512-5-12NoNo021231351730No5,254*
502-4-13NoNo0042237288100.1%2,929*
492-3-14NoNo0110273819500.31,582*
481-5-13NoNo4193728922.3767*
471-4-14NoNo0212283517516.0386*
461-3-15NoNo1718322714215.9157*
450-5-14NoNo36184919423.967*
440-4-15NoNo11283917661.118*
430-3-16NoNo1325501362.58*
400-0-19NoNo4194031696.3326
Total:12.9%25.3%1314131211976543211000000000.0%2,884,344

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship