How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 2/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Henrique 1 Peter 0 +0.5
-0.1
Thursday, 2/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Henrique 1 Abraham 0 +0.2
-0.1
Abraham 0 Anton 1 (ot)+0.0
Henrique 0 Fr. Cris 1 +0.0
Fr. Cris 1 Felipe 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Friday, 2/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ede vs William-4.8-0.4+0.9+1.4
-0.9-0.5-0.1+0.4
William vs Jack+0.9+0.0-1.5-4.6
+0.3-0.2-0.6-0.9
Peter vs William-4.3-0.9+0.5+1.2
-0.9-0.5-0.1+0.3
William vs Felipe+1.4+0.9+0.0-1.7
+0.8+0.2-0.3-0.8
Henrique vs William-1.7+0.0+0.9+1.4
-0.8-0.3+0.3+0.9
William vs JZ+1.4+1.0+0.1-1.5
+0.9+0.3-0.3-0.8
William vs Anton+1.5+1.1+0.3-1.3
+0.9+0.3-0.2-0.6
Alvaro vs William-1.1+0.3+1.1+1.5
-0.5-0.1+0.3+0.9
Fr. Cris vs William-0.5+0.7+1.3+1.6
-0.2+0.2+0.6+1.1
Alvaro vs Peter+0.2+0.0-0.3-1.1
-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Peter vs Felipe-0.8-0.2+0.1+0.2
+0.2+0.1+0.0-0.1
Anton vs Raph+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.4
-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Alvaro vs Jack+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Anton vs Jack+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
JZ vs Jack+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.2
Felipe vs Jack+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.3
-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.2
Abraham vs JZ-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.0
+0.2+0.1+0.0-0.1
Abraham vs Felipe-0.1*-0.0+0.0+0.0
+0.2+0.1+0.0-0.1
Abraham vs Jack+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.1
Fr. Cris vs JZ+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the William finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OT-WL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213Count
339-0-00-0In1006,092
328-1-00-0In31694,225
318-0-00-1In89213,476*
308-0-01-0In49648,163*
297-1-01-0In973101,676*
287-0-01-1In84150204,205*
276-1-01-1In663310419,447*
266-1-02-0In4647700663,585*
256-0-02-1In16542820629,531*
5-1-01-2In16532920370,758*
245-1-02-1In32853151674,092
6-0-03-0In32953151820,238*
235-1-03-0In01251334675,228
4-2-02-1In01252324562,473
5-0-02-2In01049355630,405*
225-0-03-1In011945305691,838
4-1-02-2In022246274575,985
4-2-03-0In022445254561,516
3-3-02-1In022646233401,975*
214-1-03-1In0063445141,386,982*
5-0-04-0In06364612518,551
3-2-02-2In08354413706,904*
204-1-04-0In019204624862,016
3-2-03-1In016204726764,686
4-0-03-2In006184135525,704
3-1-02-3In005184531464,185*
194-0-04-1100.0%0746470790,502
3-1-03-2100.00539560702,488
3-2-04-0100.000742510574,534
2-3-03-1100.00432640462,644*
183-1-04-1100.0099001,055,663
4-0-05-0100.0010900825,698*
3-0-03-3100.008920506,619*
173-1-05-0100.004960633,140
2-2-04-1100.003970527,236
3-0-04-2100.003970761,787*
163-0-05-199.901990518,142
2-1-04-299.901990432,272
2-2-05-0100.001990546,351*
152-1-05-199.2009910776,678*
1-2-04-299.309910360,162*
142-1-06-098.309820719,399*
132-0-06-193.894610440,977*
121-1-06-130.330501820267,715*
111-1-07-014.9155128600124,489*
101-0-07-13.842835276058,443*
91-0-08-0Out0155628227,027*
80-1-08-0Out2365297,573*
70-0-08-1Out562332,516
60-0-09-0Out45555,455
Total:98.2%05711121012411000024,411,446

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs