SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 2/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Henrique 1 Peter 0 +0.2
+0.1
Thursday, 2/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fr. Cris 1 Felipe 0 +0.5
Henrique 1 Abraham 0 +0.2
+0.1
Abraham 0 Anton 1 (ot)+0.1
+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Friday, 2/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
William vs Jack-4.4-3.4-0.1+5.6
-0.6-0.3+0.2+0.7
Felipe vs Jack-3.8-2.6*-0.0+4.6
-0.6-0.2+0.2+0.7
JZ vs Jack-3.6-2.2+0.1+4.3
-0.6-0.2+0.2+0.6
Abraham vs Jack-3.7-2.0+0.5+4.2
-0.8-0.3+0.3+0.9
Alvaro vs Jack-3.5-2.0+0.4+4.1
-0.6-0.2+0.2+0.6
Anton vs Jack-3.5-2.0+0.4+4.1
-0.6-0.2+0.2+0.6
Fr. Cris vs William+1.5+0.4-0.6-1.4
Henrique vs William+1.5+0.3-0.6-1.4
William vs Anton-1.4-0.6+0.3+1.5
Alvaro vs William+1.5+0.4-0.7-1.4
Ede vs William+1.4+0.4-0.6-1.4
-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1
Peter vs William+1.2+0.4-0.4-1.2
-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1
William vs JZ-0.9-0.7*-0.0+1.2
Abraham vs Felipe+0.9*+0.1-0.5-0.8
-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1
William vs Felipe-0.5-0.7-0.2+0.8
Peter vs Felipe+0.6*+0.0-0.3-0.5
-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1
Fr. Cris vs JZ+0.5*-0.0-0.3-0.4
Alvaro vs Peter+0.4+0.3*-0.1-0.5
+0.2+0.0-0.1-0.1
Abraham vs JZ+0.4*+0.0-0.3-0.3
-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1
Anton vs Raph+0.1+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Jack finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OT-WL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213Count
196-0-00-095.5%03194429523,166
185-1-00-087.9636461243,023
175-0-00-169.3116523143,028
4-2-00-069.1116523135,739
165-0-01-048.3054352128,564
4-1-00-146.205425487,304*
154-1-01-028.60127693213,978
3-2-00-126.2012571347,598
4-0-00-226.6012670340,049*
144-0-01-113.00137890214,500
3-2-01-012.50127890142,575
3-1-00-212.001280864,461*
134-0-02-04.24474080320,806
3-1-01-13.94484080286,173
2-3-01-03.9449407047,318
2-2-00-23.3349408023,987
3-0-00-33.6448408018,490*
123-1-02-00.3018413191428,579
2-2-01-10.2019413191142,973
3-0-01-20.3018403191142,564
2-1-00-30.201941319129,200*
113-0-02-10.0072839224428,371
2-2-02-00.0072839224213,693
2-1-01-20.0072939214142,609
1-3-01-10.008293921441,997*
103-0-03-00.0008324217429,193
2-1-02-10.0008324217427,679
1-2-01-20.000832431847,786
1-3-02-0Out0934421647,696
2-0-01-3Out0731431953,270*
92-1-03-0Out084547429,202
2-0-02-2Out074251214,054
1-2-02-1Out084548142,171
1-1-01-3Out07435141,756*
82-0-03-1Out033068428,660
1-2-03-0Out022870142,864
1-1-02-2Out22770142,409
0-3-02-1Out2267229,268*
72-0-04-0Out11584322,444
1-1-03-1Out11486285,995
1-0-02-3Out0108947,608
0-2-02-2Out0128723,693
0-3-03-0Out1158518,676*
61-1-04-0Out0694214,839
1-0-03-2Out496142,231
0-2-03-1Out49664,012*
51-0-04-1Out298214,600
0-1-03-2Out10047,552
0-2-04-0Out10039,667*
1-4Out100360,280*
Total:5.0%0001416121318367,708,350

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Thursday, 2016-2-11 11:11 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)