How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Tuesday, 2/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Henrique 1 Peter 0 +0.0
Thursday, 2/11100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Henrique 1 Abraham 0 +0.0
Abraham 0 Anton 1 (ot)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Friday, 2/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
William vs Jack-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.6
-0.1+0.0+0.2+0.6
Alvaro vs Jack-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.6
-0.1+0.1+0.3+0.6
Anton vs Jack-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.3+0.6
JZ vs Jack-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.3+0.6
Felipe vs Jack-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.4
-0.1+0.0+0.3+0.6
Abraham vs Jack-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1
-0.4-0.2+0.1+0.6
Peter vs William+0.1+0.0*-0.0-0.0
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0
Fr. Cris vs William+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Alvaro vs Peter+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Abraham vs Felipe-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1
Abraham vs JZ-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.1
Peter vs Felipe-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Jack finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OT-WL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213Count
196-0-00-094.1%112414064,732
185-1-00-083.31295417108
175-0-00-161.3075439832*
165-0-01-039.0237613,358*
154-0-00-225.60257407,726*
144-0-01-114.701585128,602*
134-0-02-07.887715031,490
3-1-01-17.077716027,898
3-0-00-36.367816011,925*
123-0-01-21.31603360079,691
3-1-02-01.5160336041,976
2-2-01-11.1161326014,283
2-1-00-31.116132609,437*
113-0-02-10.3038451520238,161
2-1-01-20.303845152079,306
2-2-02-00.303844152021,058
2-0-00-40.204044142011,849
1-3-01-10.20384614206,099*
102-1-02-10.0003946141238,226
3-0-03-00.0003946131237,936
2-0-01-30.0003846141141,666
1-2-01-20.000384714126,463
1-1-00-40.000384714113,078*
92-0-02-2Out046478634,608
2-1-03-0Out047458237,227
1-1-01-3Out04546993,574
1-2-02-1Out04744979,081
1-0-00-5Out044461012,136*
82-0-03-1Out02852191,268,174
1-1-02-2Out0275122421,323
1-0-01-4Out0255124114,072
1-2-03-0Out027512179,439
0-2-01-3Out24512515,700
0-3-02-1Out25512411,275*
72-0-04-0Out115039950,875
1-1-03-1Out104743842,012
1-0-02-3Out74151685,560
0-2-02-2Out9434869,939
0-1-01-4Out6375738,006
0-3-03-0Out9434810,318*
61-0-03-2Out30702,051,062
1-1-04-0Out03268632,770
0-1-02-3Out1585228,296
0-2-03-1Out2278140,515
0-0-01-5Out10031,301
51-0-04-1Out18823,078,883
0-1-03-2Out100682,588
0-0-02-4Out100235,973
0-2-04-0Out100104,928
1-4Out10010,385,911*
Total:0.1%0000127177324,411,446

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs