JZ Playoff Chances 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 1.2 to 99.5%
15 points 4-1-0 2-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Tuesday, 2/9 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Henrique 1 Peter 0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Thursday, 2/11 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Henrique 1 Abraham 0 | +0.9 | -0.2 | ||
| Abraham 0 Anton 1 (ot) | +0.6 | -0.0 | ||
| Fr. Cris 1 Felipe 0 | +0.2 | +0.1 | ||
| Henrique 0 Fr. Cris 1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||
| Friday, 2/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| JZ vs Jack | In+0.5+0.3-0.8 | +0.9+0.4-0.3-0.9 | ||
| William vs JZ | -0.7+0.1+0.4+0.5 | -1.1-0.4+0.5+1.0 | ||
| Abraham vs JZ | -0.6+0.0+0.4+0.5 | -0.9-0.3+0.4+0.9 | ||
| Fr. Cris vs JZ | -0.6+0.0+0.4+0.5 | -0.9-0.3+0.4+0.9 | ||
| Anton vs Jack | +0.4+0.3*-0.0-0.5 | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Alvaro vs Jack | +0.4+0.3*-0.0-0.5 | -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Abraham vs Jack | +0.4+0.3-0.0-0.5 | |||
| William vs Jack | +0.4+0.3-0.1-0.5 | -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Felipe vs Jack | +0.4+0.3-0.1-0.5 | -0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Peter vs Felipe | +0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1 | +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.2 | ||
| Abraham vs Felipe | +0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1 | +0.1+0.1-0.0-0.2 | ||
| Peter vs William | +0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Henrique vs William | +0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1 | -0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Ede vs William | +0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| William vs Anton | -0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Alvaro vs William | +0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||
| William vs Felipe | +0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.0 | +0.0+0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Fr. Cris vs William | +0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Anton vs Raph | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Alvaro vs Peter | -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the JZ finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | - | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | Count | ||||
| 27 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 73 | 25 | 2 | 153,380 | ||||||||||||||
| 26 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 51 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 203,212 | |||||||||||||
| 25 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 28 | 50 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 203,047 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 29 | 50 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 101,442 | |||||||||||||
| 24 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 15 | 46 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 609,980 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 15 | 47 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 203,023 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 15 | 47 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 22,458 | |||||||||||||
| 23 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 4 | 33 | 51 | 12 | 0 | 609,706 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 4 | 32 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 101,844 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 4 | 33 | 51 | 11 | 0 | 67,319 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 4 | 35 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 1,878 | |||||||||||||
| 22 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 8 | 38 | 42 | 10 | 0 | 608,948 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 8 | 39 | 42 | 10 | 0 | 202,557 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 8 | 39 | 42 | 10 | 0 | 67,905 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 7,471 | ||||||||||||
| 21 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 2 | 23 | 49 | 24 | 2 | 916,330 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 2 | 23 | 49 | 24 | 2 | 406,893 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 2 | 24 | 50 | 23 | 2 | 22,691 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 2 | 22 | 50 | 24 | 2 | 22,633 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 2 | 23 | 50 | 23 | 2 | 11,434 | ||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 608,726 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 12 | 46 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 203,302 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 12 | 47 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 67,823 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 12 | 48 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 7,685 | ||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 99.9 | % | 0 | 13 | 52 | 35 | 0 | 609,251 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 99.9 | 14 | 53 | 33 | 0 | 101,424 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 13 | 53 | 35 | 0 | 67,360 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | In | 14 | 52 | 34 | 1,812 | |||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 99.6 | 6 | 43 | 50 | 0 | 609,757 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 99.7 | 6 | 44 | 51 | 0 | 203,169 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 99.8 | 5 | 42 | 53 | 0 | 22,526 | ||||||||||||||
| 17 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 98.5 | 2 | 31 | 65 | 1 | 203,787 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 98.5 | 2 | 30 | 67 | 2 | 101,427 | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 93.9 | 0 | 14 | 79 | 6 | 202,680 | |||||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 86.2 | 0 | 6 | 80 | 14 | 0 | 153,470 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 99.5 | % | 6 | 13 | 20 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 7,708,350 | |||||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Thursday, 2016-2-11 11:11 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
