Felipe Playoff Chances 50/50
Lost to Fr. Cris 0-1, playoff odds down 0.2 to 97.9%
14 points 3-2-0 2-1
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Tuesday, 2/9 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Henrique 1 Peter 0 | +0.3 | -0.1 | ||
| Thursday, 2/11 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Fr. Cris 1 Felipe 0 | -2.0 | -0.9 | ||
| Henrique 1 Abraham 0 | +0.7 | -0.1 | ||
| Abraham 0 Anton 1 (ot) | +0.4 | -0.1 | ||
| Henrique 0 Fr. Cris 1 | +0.2 | +0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||
| Friday, 2/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Felipe vs Jack | In+2.0+0.6-3.0 | +0.9+0.3-0.4-0.9 | ||
| William vs Felipe | -2.6+0.2+1.6+2.0 | -1.1-0.4+0.4+1.1 | ||
| Peter vs Felipe | -2.6+0.7+1.5+1.9 | -0.9-0.4+0.3+0.9 | ||
| Abraham vs Felipe | -2.4+0.1+1.5+1.9 | -0.9-0.4+0.3+0.9 | ||
| Anton vs Jack | +0.9+0.5-0.1-1.1 | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Alvaro vs Jack | +0.9+0.5-0.1-1.1 | |||
| JZ vs Jack | +0.9+0.5-0.1-1.0 | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||
| William vs Jack | +0.9+0.5-0.1-1.0 | -0.1-0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Abraham vs Jack | +0.6+0.7+0.1-0.9 | |||
| Alvaro vs Peter | +0.5+0.5+0.1-0.7 | -0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||
| Peter vs William | -0.6+0.1+0.5+0.4 | +0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Abraham vs JZ | -0.3+0.2+0.2+0.2 | +0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Ede vs William | +0.2*+0.0-0.1-0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Henrique vs William | +0.1*+0.0-0.1-0.1 | -0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Fr. Cris vs William | +0.1*+0.0-0.1-0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Alvaro vs William | +0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0 | ||
| William vs Anton | -0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||
| William vs JZ | -0.1-0.1*-0.0+0.1 | |||
| Fr. Cris vs JZ | +0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1 | +0.2+0.1-0.1-0.2 | ||
| Anton vs Raph | -0.1-0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Felipe finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | - | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | Count | ||||
| 26 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 53 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 154,182 | |||||||||||||
| 25 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 36 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 202,384 | ||||||||||||
| 24 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 16 | 45 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 203,531 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 17 | 46 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 101,762 | |||||||||||||
| 23 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 5 | 31 | 46 | 17 | 1 | 610,059 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 5 | 32 | 46 | 17 | 1 | 202,639 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 5 | 32 | 47 | 16 | 1 | 22,432 | |||||||||||||
| 22 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 1 | 19 | 48 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 609,325 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 1 | 19 | 48 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 101,631 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 1 | 19 | 49 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 67,986 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 1 | 20 | 50 | 27 | 3 | 1,874 | |||||||||||||
| 21 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 3 | 22 | 44 | 28 | 3 | 608,902 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 3 | 23 | 45 | 27 | 2 | 203,483 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 3 | 22 | 45 | 28 | 2 | 68,125 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 3 | 23 | 45 | 27 | 2 | 7,397 | ||||||||||||
| 20 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | In | 0 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 45 | 9 | 915,339 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | In | 0 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 44 | 8 | 405,783 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 10 | 38 | 44 | 8 | 22,631 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 0 | In | 1 | 9 | 38 | 45 | 8 | 22,555 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 2 | In | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 45 | 7 | 11,268 | ||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 3 | 24 | 51 | 22 | 0 | 608,756 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 51 | 23 | 0 | 203,573 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 51 | 22 | 0 | 67,445 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 2 | 23 | 52 | 23 | 7,472 | |||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 99.5 | 2 | 34 | 64 | 1 | 608,512 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 0 | 99.6 | 2 | 36 | 62 | 0 | 102,092 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 2 | 99.6 | 2 | 33 | 65 | 0 | 67,279 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | 4 | 99.6 | 2 | 32 | 66 | 0 | 1,839 | ||||||||||||||
| 17 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 98.1 | 1 | 22 | 75 | 2 | 609,390 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 1 | 98.4 | 0 | 22 | 76 | 2 | 203,184 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1 | - | 3 | 98.4 | 0 | 19 | 79 | 2 | 22,521 | ||||||||||||||
| 16 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 0 | 94.2 | 0 | 12 | 82 | 6 | 203,503 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 94.3 | 0 | 10 | 84 | 6 | 101,801 | ||||||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 3 | - | 1 | 77.8 | 3 | 75 | 21 | 1 | 203,616 | |||||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 4 | - | 0 | 49.1 | 1 | 48 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 154,079 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 97.9 | % | 3 | 10 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7,708,350 | ||||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Thursday, 2016-2-11 11:11 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
