Ernescliff College Vodka Cup Playoff Chances

																		100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs																		Chance will finish regular season at seed
	Thursday		P	G	W	-	OT	-	W		L	-	OT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength	2/19

Fr. Cris	W	Alvaro 1-0 W Felipe 1-0 W Henrique 1-0	30	2	10	-	0	-	0	0		-	0	10	In			100	0												1.0	+0.22	3	.917	JZ William	Fr. Cris
Alvaro	L	Fr. Cris 0-1	20	3	6	-	1	-	0	2		-	0	5	In				58	33	7	2	0	0	0						2.5	-0.30	4	.693	Jack Peter William	Alvaro
Anton	W	Abraham 1-0 (ot)	19	3	5	-	1	-	0	1		-	2	3	100.0	%	+0.0		34	41	17	6	1	0	0	0					3.0	+0.19	2	.663	Jack Raph at William	Anton
Felipe	L	Fr. Cris 0-1	14	4	3	-	2	-	0	2		-	1	2	100.0		+0.0		2	13	30	27	15	7	7	0	0				4.9	-0.43	1	.564	at Abraham Jack at Peter at William	Felipe
JZ			15	4	4	-	1	-	0	2		-	1	2	100.0		+0.0		1	6	28	27	21	8	10	0					5.2	+0.09	5	.596	at Abraham at Fr. Cris Jack at William	JZ
William			6	9	1	-	1	-	0	0		-	1	1	98.2		+0.3	0	5	7	11	12	10	12	41	1	0	0	0	0	6.3	+0.19	7	.558	at Alvaro at Ede at Fr. Cris at Henrique at Peter Anton Felipe Jack JZ	William
Henrique	W	Abraham 1-0 L Fr. Cris 0-1	19	1	5	-	1	-	0	3		-	2	1	100.0		+0.1		0	0	7	23	21	20	28	0					6.4	+0.05	9	.566	William	Henrique
Michal			20		4	-	4	-	0	4		-	0	4	In					0	0	4	31	53	12						6.7	+0.01	6	.550		Michal

Raph			10	1	2	-	1	-	0	6		-	2	-5	0.4		-0.0								0	62	30	7	1	0	9.5	+0.08	8	.329	at Anton	Raph
Ede			9	1	2	-	1	-	0	7		-	1	-5	0.9		-0.1								1	17	51	27	4	0	10.2	+0.08	10	.303	William	Ede
Peter			6	3	1	-	1	-	0	6		-	1	-5	0.3		+0.1							0	0	7	9	36	42	6	11.3	+0.13	12	.278	at Alvaro Felipe William	Peter
Abraham	L	Anton 0-1 (ot) L Henrique 0-1	5	3	0	-	1	-	0	5		-	3	-7	0.1		-0.5							0	0	11	8	24	35	21	11.5	-0.35	11	.248	Felipe Jack JZ	Abraham
Jack			1	6	0	-	0	-	0	5		-	1	-6	0.1		+0.0					0	0	0	0	1	2	7	17	73	12.6	+0.06	13	.189	at Abraham at Alvaro at Anton at Felipe at JZ at William	Jack

Tuesday, 2/9
Henrique 1 Peter 0
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
William	+0.5
Henrique	+1.0		+0.3
Michal			-0.1
Raph			+0.1
Ede			+0.1
Peter	-1.3		-0.4
Abraham	-0.4		+0.1

Thursday, 2/11
Henrique 1 Abraham 0
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
JZ			-0.1
William	+0.2
Henrique			+0.3
Michal			-0.1
Raph			+0.1
Ede			+0.1
Peter			+0.1
Abraham	-0.4		-0.4

Abraham 0 Anton 1 (ot)
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Alvaro			+0.1
Anton			-0.1
Felipe			+0.0
Raph			-0.0
Ede			-0.0
Peter			-0.0
Abraham	-0.1		+0.1

Henrique 0 Fr. Cris 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fr. Cris			+0.1
JZ			+0.1
Henrique			-0.3
Michal			+0.1

Fr. Cris 1 Felipe 0
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fr. Cris			+0.1
Anton			+0.1
Felipe			-0.3
JZ			+0.1

Alvaro 0 Fr. Cris 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fr. Cris			+0.2
Alvaro			-0.3
Anton			+0.1

Friday, 2/19
Ede vs WilliamIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
William	93.497.899.199.6		7.16.76.35.9
Raph	1.20.70.30.1		10.19.89.29.3
Ede	4.60.6OutOut		9.29.510.310.5

William vs JackHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Anton	InInIn100.0		3.03.02.92.9
William	99.198.296.793.6		6.06.46.87.2
Henrique	InInIn100.0		6.46.46.36.2
Jack	0.00.00.10.7		12.712.512.312.0

Peter vs WilliamHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
William	93.997.398.799.4		7.16.76.35.9
Peter	1.80.40.00.0		10.410.811.311.6
Abraham	0.20.10.10.0		11.811.711.511.4

William vs FelipeHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Felipe			5.85.24.54.0
William	99.699.198.296.5		5.46.06.67.0

Henrique vs WilliamHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
William	96.598.299.199.6		7.16.65.95.4
Henrique	InInIn100.0		5.25.67.27.6
Michal			7.07.16.46.4

William vs JZHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
JZ			6.35.74.94.4
William	99.699.298.396.7		5.36.06.67.0

William vs AntonHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Anton	100.0InInIn		3.83.22.82.5
William	99.799.398.596.9		5.45.96.46.8

Alvaro vs WilliamHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Alvaro			2.22.42.73.1
William	97.198.599.399.7		6.86.45.95.4

Fr. Cris vs WilliamHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
William	97.798.999.599.8		6.56.15.65.2

Anton vs RaphHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Anton	InInIn100.0		2.73.03.43.9
Raph	0.00.11.42.0		9.69.49.19.0
Ede	1.21.10.0Out		10.110.210.410.4

Alvaro vs PeterHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Alvaro			2.42.62.93.2
Anton			3.12.92.82.6
Ede	1.00.90.80.7		10.110.210.310.5
Peter	0.10.30.81.8		11.611.210.710.3
Abraham			11.411.511.711.8

Peter vs FelipeHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Felipe	99.9100.0100.0100.0		6.05.55.04.5
JZ			5.05.15.25.3
Ede	0.70.9*0.91.0		10.510.310.210.1
Peter	1.40.60.20.0		10.410.811.311.6
Abraham			11.811.711.511.4

Alvaro vs JackHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Alvaro			2.42.73.03.3
Anton	InInIn100.0		3.12.92.82.6
Henrique	InInIn100.0
Jack	0.00.10.20.6		12.712.512.312.0

Felipe vs JackHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Anton	InInIn100.0		3.03.02.92.9
Felipe	In100.0*100.099.8		4.65.15.66.1
Henrique	InInIn100.0		6.56.46.26.1
Jack	0.00.10.10.5		12.712.512.312.0

Anton vs JackHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Anton	InInIn100.0		2.83.13.64.0
Henrique	InInIn100.0		6.46.46.46.3
Jack	0.00.10.20.6		12.712.512.312.0

JZ vs JackHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Anton	InInIn100.0		3.03.03.02.9
JZ	InIn100.099.9		4.95.46.16.5
Henrique	InInIn100.0		6.56.36.26.0
Michal			6.86.76.56.4
Jack	0.00.10.10.5		12.712.512.312.0

Abraham vs JZHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
JZ			6.56.05.34.9
Henrique			6.06.26.46.5
Michal			6.46.56.86.8
Raph			9.89.69.49.4
Ede	0.80.90.90.9		10.510.410.110.1
Peter			11.611.511.311.2
Abraham	0.40.10.00.0		10.310.811.511.8

Abraham vs FelipeHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Felipe	99.9100.0100.0100.0		6.05.55.04.5
Raph			9.89.69.49.4
Ede	0.80.90.90.9		10.510.410.110.1
Peter			11.611.511.311.2
Abraham	0.40.10.00.0		10.310.811.511.8

Abraham vs JackHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Anton	InInIn100.0
Henrique	InInIn100.0
Abraham	0.10.00.00.0		10.811.211.912.4
Jack	0.00.00.10.2		12.912.812.512.0

Fr. Cris vs JZHomeHome OTAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
JZ			5.55.14.54.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Ernescliff College Vodka Cup Playoff Chances

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