NEW DIVIDE Playoff Chances Spring2011

Lost to HOLIDAYS 4-10, playoff odds up 2 to 99.6%

12 points 4-4-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 3/23	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
BULLET BILL'S I 5 THE DANGERFIELD 2	+2.2		+0.1
NEW DIVIDE 4 HOLIDAYS 10	-1.4		-0.5
RAMPAGE 9 RUNNING RIOT 4			-0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 3/27	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
VESPA vs BULLET BILL'S I	InIn-1.9
RAMPAGE vs NEW DIVIDE	-0.3*-0.0In		-1.0-0.7+1.7
COUGAR CHOW vs DERRICK CORP			+0.2-0.0-0.0
INVADERS vs LUCKY CHARMS			-0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NEW DIVIDE finish out the regular season. Explain

100

If finish:

Chance in

Chance will finish regular season at seed

playoffs

Count

1,255,888

810,800

2,181,325

120,955

98.0

588,780

98.0

615,641

Total:

5,573,389

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs