BULLET BILL'S II Playoff Chances Spring2011

Beat THE DANGERFIELD 5-2, playoff odds up 0.3 to 0.4%

8 points 2-4-2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 3/23	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
BULLET BILL'S I 5 THE DANGERFIELD 2	+0.2		+1.4
RAMPAGE 9 RUNNING RIOT 4			+0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 3/27	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
VESPA vs BULLET BILL'S I	OutOut+1.9		-0.6+0.2+2.1
RAMPAGE vs NEW DIVIDE	+0.3*+0.0Out
INVADERS vs LUCKY CHARMS			+0.2+0.1-0.4
MONARCHS vs FLYERS			-0.2+0.3+0.4
HAIR TEAM vs BUFFALO BRAVES			+0.1-0.0-0.4
NIGHTHAWKS vs PHANTOMS			-0.1-0.1+0.1
PROWLING PANTHE vs GENNY POUNDERS			-0.1-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the BULLET BILL'S I finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	Count

14	2	-	0	-	0	21.6	%										0	5	17	37	39	3									110,149
12	1	-	0	-	1	Out														0	24	51	23	2	0						239,118
11	1	-	1	-	0	Out															13	41	37	9	1	0					1,169,115
10	0	-	0	-	2	Out																11	48	32	8	1					120,568
9	0	-	1	-	1	Out																	11	40	40	9	0				1,158,597
8	0	-	2	-	0	Out																	2	17	40	33	7	0			2,775,842

Total:						0.4	%										0	0	0	1	4	11	13	20	29	18	3	0			5,573,389

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs