"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Elim Crimson 6 Pakuranga 2 0 +9.0
+0.6
Edgewater 3 0 Elim 2 6 -8.0
Edgewater 1 3 Edgewater 2 4 (ot)+0.2
+0.1
Edgewater 4 4 Pakuranga 1 3 (ot)+0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 9/7100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Edgewater 1 vs Elim 2+7.3+7.3-7.3-7.3
+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
Elim Crimson vs Edgewater 4+7.3+7.3-7.3-7.3
+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Elim Crimson finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedWooden
TPW-WLwins title12345678SpoonCount
122-0029.2%2971No6,434,000
101-012.1298No12,853,673
80-02No100No6,430,263
Total:8.4%892No25,717,936
Points
Chance Will Win Championship