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Shawn's Blue Light Specials Playoff Chances 2017
Beat BUSH 40-28, playoff odds down 7.6 to 39.6%
6-4-0 .600
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| IO 53 NARD 55 | -24.2 | -0.3 | ||
| RAPT 16 AA 55 | +4.9 | +0.1 | ||
| GOR 21 BULL 48 | +1.3 | +0.0 | ||
| BUSH 28 SBLS 40 | +0.5 | +0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| ESF vs SBLS | -35.1-32.6+0.4 | -2.2-1.1+0.0 | ||
| RAPT vs GOR | -20.0*+0.1+5.1 | -0.5+0.0+0.1 | ||
| NARD vs AA | -4.5+0.9+0.9 | |||
| BULL vs IO | +0.2-0.0-0.0 | |||
| SPIK vs YIB | +0.1+0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the SBLS finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 10 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 1 | 99 | 0 | 10,307 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 6 | 94 | 45,818 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 95.6 | % | 0 | 5 | 72 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 4,524,733 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 96.3 | 1 | 95 | 3 | 1 | 3,178 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 54.8 | 0 | 54 | 1 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 493,301 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 55.6 | 56 | 19 | 25 | 36 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 25.5 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 61 | 13 | 0 | 17,630,891 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 17.7 | 18 | 0 | 40 | 42 | 1 | 8,576 | |||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 62 | 6 | 0 | 358,448 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | Out | 12 | 30 | 39 | 18 | 33 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 47 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 42,547 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 5 | 19 | 45 | 30 | 1 | 1,840 | |||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 2 | 20 | 48 | 28 | 3 | 458 | |||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 15 | 46 | 38 | 0 | 4,818 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 39.6 | % | 0 | 1 | 34 | 5 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23,124,984 | |||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:03 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
