Nardonians Playoff Chances 2017 50/50
Beat IO 55-53, playoff odds up 11.2 to 55.3%
6-4-0 .600
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| IO 53 NARD 55 | +13.6 | +0.8 | ||
| WS 37 SPIK 61 | -2.9 | -0.1 | ||
| GOR 21 BULL 48 | +1.8 | +0.1 | ||
| ESF 38 YIB 49 | -1.6 | -0.1 | ||
| BUSH 28 SBLS 40 | -1.0 | -0.0 | ||
| RAPT 16 AA 55 | +1.0 | +0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NARD vs AA | +14.7-11.4-14.4 | +0.8-0.5-0.8 | ||
| SPIK vs YIB | +1.1+5.2-1.2 | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | ||
| RAPT vs GOR | -0.5+2.2+0.5 | -0.0+0.2+0.0 | ||
| ESF vs SBLS | +0.6+1.7-0.6 | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | ||
| BULL vs IO | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the NARD finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 10 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 70 | 30 | 367,530 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 25 | 57 | 7 | 10 | 29,342 | ||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.0 | % | 20 | 45 | 6 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 1,463,569 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 88.9 | 2 | 15 | 23 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 849 | |||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 77.1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 88,951 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 8.3 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 17 | 8 | 12 | |||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 64.8 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 53 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2,198,424 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 7.8 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1,809 | |||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 4.3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 88,786 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | Out | 6 | 25 | 38 | 25 | 6 | 16 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1.9 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,463,681 | |||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 4 | 22 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 883 | ||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 16 | 30 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 29,325 | |||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 34 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 367,159 | |||||||
| Total: | 55.3 | % | 9 | 14 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6,100,336 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:03 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
