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Alcatraz Assassins Playoff Chances 2017 50/50
Beat RAPT 55-16, playoff odds up 1.7 to 7.4%
4-5-1 .450
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| RAPT 16 AA 55 | +4.1 | +0.9 | ||
| IO 53 NARD 55 | -1.0 | -0.1 | ||
| WS 37 SPIK 61 | -0.8 | +0.1 | ||
| ESF 38 YIB 49 | -0.4 | -0.0 | ||
| BUSH 28 SBLS 40 | -0.4 | +0.1 | ||
| GOR 21 BULL 48 | +0.3 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| NARD vs AA | -6.5-5.9+6.6 | -1.1-1.0+1.1 | ||
| SPIK vs YIB | +0.2+3.0-0.2 | +0.0+0.2-0.0 | ||
| RAPT vs GOR | -0.7+1.1+0.7 | +0.1+0.2-0.1 | ||
| ESF vs SBLS | +0.1+1.3-0.2 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| BULL vs IO | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| BUSH vs WS | -0.0+0.2+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the AA finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 8 | .5 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 87.2 | % | 2 | 15 | 37 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 367,465 | ||||||
| 8 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 13.8 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 29,388 | ||||||
| 7 | .5 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 8.7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 37 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,465,288 | ||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 4 | 22 | 32 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 909 | |||||||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 3 | 19 | 33 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 88,820 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | Out | 33 | 56 | 11 | 9 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 33 | 30 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2,194,741 | |||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 32 | 8 | 1,799 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 18 | 37 | 34 | 8 | 88,598 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | Out | 36 | 64 | 11 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 17 | 37 | 35 | 9 | 1,466,025 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 7 | 45 | 48 | 940 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 8 | 42 | 50 | 29,606 | |||||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 7 | 42 | 51 | 366,737 | |||||||||
| Total: | 7.4 | % | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 6,100,336 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:03 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
