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Michael Playoff Chances
Beat Stacy 107-75.4, playoff odds up 21.1 to 28.5%
5-5-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Michael 107 Stacy 75.4 | +12.3 | +1.2 | ||
| Jay 78.4 Paul 86 | +1.0 | +0.1 | ||
| Craig 97.2 Scott 100.6 | -0.7 | -0.1 | ||
| Josh 102.3 Gabby 143.3 | +0.2 | -0.2 | ||
| Ruth 80.8 Jeremy 124.6 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Ruth vs Michael | -24.9+2.1+24.9 | -1.7-0.0+1.7 | ||
| Stacy vs Jay | -3.5-3.6+5.0 | -0.2-0.3+0.3 | ||
| Jeremy vs Josh | +0.6+2.0-0.6 | +0.0+0.5-0.0 | ||
| Gabby vs Scott | -0.7-1.3+0.8 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Paul vs Craig | +1.3*-0.0-0.5 | +0.2-0.1-0.1 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Michael finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 7 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 99.1 | % | 28 | 41 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 8,064,337 | |||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 65.4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 48 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 269,544 | |||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 7.3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 28 | 4 | 16,107,398 | ||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 3.2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 28 | 36 | 11 | 1 | 2,216 | |||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 14 | 62 | 24 | 269,641 | ||||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 11 | 89 | 0 | 8,059,884 | |||||||||
| Total: | 28.5 | % | 7 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 24 | 0 | 32,773,020 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Michael 107 Stacy 75.4 | -0.6 | |
| Jay 78.4 Paul 86 | +0.0 | |
| Josh 102.3 Gabby 143.3 | -0.0 | |
| Craig 97.2 Scott 100.6 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Ruth vs Michael | +0.6-0.4-0.6 | |
| Gabby vs Scott | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| Jeremy vs Josh | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
| Paul vs Craig | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| Stacy vs Jay | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
What If
ESPN Family League
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| 7 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 5 | |
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 8 | |
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 6 | ||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 26 | 15 | |
| Total: | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 9 | ||||||
Updated Monday, 2017-11-20 12:53 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
