Josh Playoff Chances
Lost to Gabby 102.3-143.3, playoff odds down 25.3 to 33.2%
5-5-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Josh 102.3 Gabby 143.3 | -23.4 | -1.0 | ||
| Jay 78.4 Paul 86 | +6.0 | +0.2 | ||
| Craig 97.2 Scott 100.6 | -4.3 | -0.1 | ||
| Ruth 80.8 Jeremy 124.6 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Michael 107 Stacy 75.4 | -0.2 | +0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jeremy vs Josh | -21.5*+0.1+21.5 | -1.3-0.4+1.3 | ||
| Ruth vs Michael | +4.2-7.6-4.1 | +0.2-0.4-0.2 | ||
| Stacy vs Jay | +2.1-4.5-2.9 | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | ||
| Paul vs Craig | +2.4+0.3-0.9 | +0.1+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Gabby vs Scott | -0.3-0.4+0.3 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Josh finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 7 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 94.6 | % | 1 | 21 | 42 | 31 | 5 | 8,065,942 | |||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 76.5 | 3 | 24 | 49 | 21 | 2 | 270,205 | |||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 18.9 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 29 | 29 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 16,099,466 | |||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 7.4 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 42 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2,276 | |||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 3 | 31 | 49 | 16 | 269,309 | |||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 8 | 46 | 45 | 8,065,822 | ||||||||||
| Total: | 33.2 | % | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 32,773,020 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Josh 102.3 Gabby 143.3 | +0.5 | |
| Jay 78.4 Paul 86 | -0.0 | |
| Craig 97.2 Scott 100.6 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Jeremy vs Josh | +0.5-0.4-0.5 | |
| Ruth vs Michael | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
| Paul vs Craig | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| Gabby vs Scott | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| Stacy vs Jay | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |
What If
ESPN Family League
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| 7 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 17 | 19 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | |
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 1 | |
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | ||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 3 | |
| Total: | 9 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 2 | ||||||
Updated Monday, 2017-11-20 12:53 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
