"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Jay Playoff Chances
Lost to Paul 78.4-86, playoff odds down 28.1 to 32.5%
5-5-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jay 78.4 Paul 86 | -29.1 | -1.2 | ||
| Ruth 80.8 Jeremy 124.6 | +5.0 | +0.1 | ||
| Craig 97.2 Scott 100.6 | -2.6 | |||
| Josh 102.3 Gabby 143.3 | -2.0 | -0.0 | ||
| Michael 107 Stacy 75.4 | +0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Stacy vs Jay | -17.3*+0.0+24.2 | -1.0-0.3+1.5 | ||
| Ruth vs Michael | -5.9-10.8+6.0 | -0.2-0.4+0.2 | ||
| Gabby vs Scott | -1.5-3.3+1.5 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | ||
| Paul vs Craig | +3.1*-0.1-1.1 | +0.1+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Jeremy vs Josh | +0.7-1.6-0.7 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Jay finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 7 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 96.3 | % | 7 | 39 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 6,718,001 | |||||||
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 73.9 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 47 | 25 | 1 | 248,492 | ||||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 24.8 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 16,104,407 | |||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 3.3 | 3 | 26 | 40 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 2,271 | ||||||||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 5 | 41 | 46 | 7 | 291,789 | |||||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 16 | 44 | 38 | 2 | 9,408,060 | ||||||||
| Total: | 32.5 | % | 1 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 32,773,020 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 11/13 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Jay 78.4 Paul 86 | +0.6 | |
| Michael 107 Stacy 75.4 | -0.0 | |
| Craig 97.2 Scott 100.6 | -0.0 | |
| Ruth 80.8 Jeremy 124.6 | -0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Stacy vs Jay | +0.4-0.4-0.6 | |
| Jeremy vs Josh | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| Ruth vs Michael | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
| Paul vs Craig | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | |
| Gabby vs Scott | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
What If
ESPN Family League
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| 7 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 26 | 23 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| 6 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 23 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 6 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 13 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | |
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 21 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | ||
| 5 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 11 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 1 | |
| Total: | 13 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | ||||||
Updated Monday, 2017-11-20 12:53 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
