How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Josh 102.3 Gabby 143.3 +22.1
+1.2
Jay 78.4 Paul 86 +5.4
+0.2
Ruth 80.8 Jeremy 124.6 +1.7
-0.1
Craig 97.2 Scott 100.6 +0.5
-0.1
Michael 107 Stacy 75.4 -0.5
-0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Gabby vs Scott+35.4+8.1-35.6
+1.7-0.0-1.7
Stacy vs Jay-2.9-8.5+4.2
-0.1-0.4+0.1
Jeremy vs Josh-0.2-5.7+0.3
+0.0-0.3-0.0
Ruth vs Michael+0.2+4.2-0.3
+0.0+0.4-0.0
Paul vs Craig+1.7*+0.2-0.6
-0.1+0.2+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Gabby finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910Count
72-0-098.2%6433415210,747,488
6.51-0-181.922852181314,895
61-1-026.906213024163016,104,845
0-0-211.811135331732,246
5.50-1-1Out0643447224,894
50-2-0Out1153038165,378,652
Total:46.2%214141615121176332,773,020
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/13100.0*Lottery seed
Josh 102.3 Gabby 143.3 -0.4
Jay 78.4 Paul 86 -0.1
Michael 107 Stacy 75.4 -0.0
Craig 97.2 Scott 100.6 -0.0
Ruth 80.8 Jeremy 124.6 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Gabby vs Scott-0.3-0.2+0.3
Stacy vs Jay-0.0+0.1+0.0
Jeremy vs Josh-0.0+0.1+0.0
Ruth vs Michael+0.0+0.1-0.0
Paul vs Craig-0.1+0.0+0.0

What If

ESPN Family League

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T12345678910
72-0-0591810642100
6.51-0-1591810642100
61-1-04520139642100
0-0-2562011732100
5.50-1-14520139642100
50-2-0292016131074200
Total:4720129642100