How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/13100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Craig 97.2 Scott 100.6 -7.3
-0.6
Jay 78.4 Paul 86 +1.3
+0.1
Josh 102.3 Gabby 143.3 +0.7
+0.1
Ruth 80.8 Jeremy 124.6 +0.1
+0.1
Michael 107 Stacy 75.4 -0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/20100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Paul vs Craig-31.3+4.9+11.1
-1.5-0.1+0.5
Ruth vs Michael+0.1+2.8-0.2
+0.0+0.4-0.0
Gabby vs Scott-1.2+0.2+1.2
Jeremy vs Josh-1.1+1.3+1.1
-0.1+0.2+0.1
Stacy vs Jay+0.4-1.1-0.5
-0.0-0.2+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Craig finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910Count
7.5-8In10012,207,420*
71-1-097.5%23332912216,108,767
0-0-297.71835331222,239
6.50-1-187.8063646120206,351
60-2-011.501112228271114,248,243
Total:87.2%49161584431032,773,020

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/13100.0*Lottery seed
Craig 97.2 Scott 100.6 +0.6
Jay 78.4 Paul 86 -0.0
Josh 102.3 Gabby 143.3 -0.0
Michael 107 Stacy 75.4 -0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/20100.0*Lottery seed
Paul vs Craig+0.8-0.2-0.3
Ruth vs Michael-0.0+0.1-0.0
Stacy vs Jay+0.0+0.1-0.0
Gabby vs Scott-0.0+0.1+0.0
Jeremy vs Josh+0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

ESPN Family League

100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T12345678910
82-0-01115141312109871
7.51-0-19141413121110971
71-1-048111213131313122
0-0-27141415111110981
6.50-1-137101213131313122
60-2-0136811131517197
Total:610111212121212112