Big Nasty Playoff Chances 2017-2018
Lost to CREW 59.4-83.9, playoff odds down 1 to 98.7%
7-3-0 .700
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| CREW 83.9 CAW! 59.4 | -0.6 | -0.5 | ||
| BUFF 87.5 BALL 98.1 | +0.1 | |||
| FC 85.2 LIB 103.6 | -0.1 | |||
| XXX 72.6 NSSC 82.9 | -0.0 | |||
| T$ 95 LLUA 67 | +0.2 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| CAW! vs BUFF | +1.1-1.9-2.2 | +0.4-0.8-0.8 | ||
| S!TD vs T$ | -0.2*+0.2+0.2 | |||
| LLUA vs DLOS | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | +0.0+0.3-0.0 | ||
| NSSC vs BALL | -0.0*+0.4+0.1 | -0.1+0.2+0.2 | ||
| LIB vs CREW | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the CAW! finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | |||
| 11 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 1,180,103 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 49 | 43 | 8 | 0 | 3,094 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 44 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 2,958,072 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 33 | 67 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 4 | 24 | 42 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 5,628 | ||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 2 | 22 | 42 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 2,618,061 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 100 | 2 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 97.7 | % | 1 | 9 | 29 | 43 | 15 | 2 | 3,206 | |||||||
| 8 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 96.4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 44 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 958,768 | |||||||
| 7 | .5 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 45.7 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 556 | |||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 42.4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 121,531 | |||||||
| Total: | 98.7 | % | 32 | 25 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7,849,024 | |||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:03 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
