"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
GW-L-TPCTGD%Change123456789101112Avg.ChangeRPI
CAW!7-3-0.70038.896.4%-1.7292317139531002.8-0.522Big Nasty
LLUA7-3-0.70015.794.8-2.834201411106320002.8-0.571Urban Achievers
LIB6-4-0.600-40.177.5+10.59111315151412631004.7+0.826Chamberlain's Libido
BALL3-7-0.300-39.92.6+0.50012371421272610.3+0.5512Brady Loves Soft Balls

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/5
FC 85.2 LIB 103.6
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!-0.2
-0.0
LLUA-0.1
LIB+13.8
+0.9
BALL-0.1
+0.1
CREW 83.9 CAW! 59.4
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!-1.9
-0.5
LLUA-0.3
+0.1
LIB-3.1
-0.1
BALL-0.3
-0.0
BUFF 87.5 BALL 98.1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!+0.3
+0.1
LLUA+0.2
+0.1
LIB+1.4
+0.1
BALL+2.0
+0.5
XXX 72.6 NSSC 82.9
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!-0.1
-0.1
LLUA-0.1
-0.1
LIB-2.6
-0.1
BALL-0.1
+0.1
T$ 95 LLUA 67
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!+0.1
LLUA-2.2
-0.5
LIB+0.0
BALL-0.2
-0.1
DLOS 77.2 S!TD 63.1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!-0.1
LLUA-0.0
LIB+0.7
-0.0
BALL-0.1
+0.0
Week of 11/12
LIB vs CREWIf winner is:HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!96.5*96.996.3
2.82.52.7
LLUA95.3*94.794.4
2.9*2.82.8
LIB90.371.764.7
3.75.35.6
BALL2.7*3.72.4
CAW! vs BUFFHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!99.892.793.0
2.13.53.5
LLUA95.7*95.294.0
2.82.62.8
LIB80.4*81.374.7
4.64.54.7
BALL2.9*3.02.2
LLUA vs DLOSHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!96.7*96.596.1
2.82.62.8
LLUA99.592.790.1
2.13.33.6
LIB78.1*79.977.0
4.64.44.7
BALL2.8*1.72.3
10.3*10.410.3
NSSC vs BALLHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!2.92.62.7
LLUA94.6*95.595.0
2.9*2.72.7
LIB75.4*80.379.6
4.7*4.54.6
BALL0.1Out5.1
10.910.99.7
S!TD vs T$HomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
CAW!96.0*98.096.8
2.8*2.72.8
LLUA94.4*95.895.2
LIB75.6*79.179.4
4.7*4.64.6
BALL2.8*3.32.3
10.410.110.3
FC vs XXXHomeTieAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
LIB76.8*76.678.2
4.7*4.64.6
BALL2.3*3.22.8
10.310.010.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.