Angels Playoff Chances Indoor2013-2014

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 20%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Angels vs KC Trojans	+8.0-2.3-6.4		+8.0-2.3-6.4		-7.6+1.3+6.7		+0.8-0.2-0.7
Rionero vs Green and Gold	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.4+0.1
ASC United vs SG Saints	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.4+0.1
Valkyries vs Mavericks	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1
Polonia vs ASC Cyclones	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/4	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
ASC Cyclones vs Angels	-6.4-2.3+8.0		-6.4-2.3+8.0		+6.7+1.4-7.6		-0.7-0.2+0.8
SG Saints vs Valkyries	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1
Green and Gold vs Polonia	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1
Mavericks vs Rionero	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1
KC Trojans vs ASC United	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.4+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Angels finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Promotion		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Relegation		Count

46	-54						In		Yes		100										No		19,193	*
45		14	-	1	-	3	In		Yes		100	0									No		5,523	*
44		14	-	2	-	2	In		Yes		100	0									No		11,596	*
43		13	-	1	-	4	In		Yes		100	0									No		20,469	*
42		13	-	2	-	3	In		Yes		100	0									No		37,103	*
41		13	-	3	-	2	In		Yes		99	1									No		65,840	*
40		12	-	2	-	4	In		Yes		99	1									No		106,303	*
39		12	-	3	-	3	100.0	%	100.0	%	98	2	0								No		171,066	*
38		12	-	4	-	2	100.0		100.0		96	4	0								No		266,054	*
37		11	-	3	-	4	99.9		99.9		93	7	0	0							No		390,197	*
36		11	-	4	-	3	99.7		99.7		88	12	0	0							No		567,599	*
35		10	-	3	-	5	99.2		99.2		81	18	1	0							No		788,367	*
34		10	-	4	-	4	97.7		97.7		71	27	2	0							No		1,061,023	*
33		10	-	5	-	3	94.4		94.4		58	37	5	0	0						No		1,397,637	*
32		9	-	4	-	5	87.7		87.7		43	45	11	1	0	0					No		1,769,619	*
31		9	-	5	-	4	75.9		75.9		28	48	21	3	0	0					No		2,176,989	*
30		9	-	6	-	3	58.4		58.4		15	43	33	8	1	0					No		2,609,481	*
29		8	-	5	-	5	36.9		36.9		6	31	41	19	3	0	0	0			No		1,795,858
		9	-	7	-	2	37.7		37.7		6	32	41	18	3	0	0	0			No		1,219,601	*
28		8	-	6	-	4	18.1		18.1		2	16	40	32	9	1	0	0			No		2,244,433
		7	-	4	-	7	17.7		17.7		2	16	40	32	9	1	0	0			No		1,147,905	*
27		8	-	7	-	3	6.0		6.0		0	6	27	41	22	4	0	0	0		0.0	%	1,928,674
		7	-	5	-	6	5.6		5.6		0	5	26	41	23	4	0	0	0		0.0		1,788,754	*
26		7	-	6	-	5	1.1		1.1		0	1	11	34	37	15	2	0	0		0.0		2,394,553
		8	-	8	-	2	1.0		1.0		0	1	11	35	37	14	2	0	0		0.0		1,536,578	*
25		7	-	7	-	4	0.1		0.1		0	0	3	18	39	31	9	1	0		0.0		2,568,521
		6	-	5	-	7	0.1		0.1		0	0	2	17	39	32	9	1	0		0.0		1,479,244	*
24		7	-	8	-	3	0.0		0.0			0	0	5	26	41	23	4	0	0	0.2		1,926,057
		6	-	6	-	6	0.0		0.0			0	0	5	24	41	25	5	0	0	0.3		2,113,415	*
23		6	-	7	-	5	0.0		0.0			0	0	1	9	32	39	17	2	0	2.2		2,395,398
		7	-	9	-	2	Out		No				0	1	9	33	39	16	2	0	1.9		1,511,612	*
22		6	-	8	-	4	Out		No				0	0	2	17	39	32	9	1	9.2		2,246,298
		5	-	6	-	7	Out		No				0	0	2	16	39	34	9	1	9.8		1,417,929	*
21		5	-	7	-	6	Out		No					0	0	5	25	43	23	3	26.4		1,595,362
		6	-	9	-	3	Out		No					0	0	6	27	43	22	3	24.5		1,740,406	*
20		5	-	8	-	5	Out		No					0	0	1	13	39	38	9	47.2		2,930,345	*
19		5	-	9	-	4	Out		No						0	0	5	27	47	21	68.3		2,496,507	*
18		4	-	8	-	6	Out		No							0	1	15	47	36	83.7		2,055,498	*
17		4	-	9	-	5	Out		No							0	0	7	40	53	92.7		1,628,612	*
16		4	-	10	-	4	Out		No								0	3	30	67	97.2		1,247,002	*
15		3	-	9	-	6	Out		No								0	1	20	79	99.1		920,158	*
14		3	-	10	-	5	Out		No								0	0	12	88	99.7		650,616	*
13		3	-	11	-	4	Out		No								0	0	7	93	99.9		443,476	*
12		3	-	12	-	3	Out		No									0	4	96	100.0		287,632	*
11		2	-	11	-	5	Out		No									0	2	98	100.0		178,203	*
10		2	-	12	-	4	Out		No										1	99	Yes		104,978	*
9		2	-	13	-	3	Out		No										0	100	Yes		58,371	*
8		1	-	12	-	5	Out		No										0	100	Yes		30,504	*
7		1	-	13	-	4	Out		No										0	100	Yes		14,782	*
0	-6						Out		No											100	Yes		25,159	*

Total:							20.0	%	20.0	%	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	20.0	%	57,586,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/28	100.0*	Lottery seed
Angels vs KC Trojans	-0.8+0.2+0.7

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/4	100.0*	Lottery seed
ASC Cyclones vs Angels	+0.7+0.2-0.8

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10

46	-54						100
45		14	-	1	-	3	100	0
44		14	-	2	-	2	100	0
43		13	-	1	-	4	100	0
42		13	-	2	-	3	100	0
41		13	-	3	-	2	99	1
40		12	-	2	-	4	99	1
39		12	-	3	-	3	98	2	0
38		12	-	4	-	2	96	4	0
37		11	-	3	-	4	93	7	0	0
36		11	-	4	-	3	88	12	0	0
35		10	-	3	-	5	81	18	1	0
34		10	-	4	-	4	71	27	2	0
33		10	-	5	-	3	58	37	5	0	0
32		9	-	4	-	5	43	45	11	1	0	0
31		9	-	5	-	4	28	48	21	3	0	0
30		9	-	6	-	3	15	43	33	8	1	0
29		8	-	5	-	5	6	31	41	19	3	0	0	0
		9	-	7	-	2	6	32	41	18	3	0	0	0
28		8	-	6	-	4	2	16	40	32	9	1	0	0
		7	-	4	-	7	2	16	40	32	9	1	0	0
27		8	-	7	-	3	0	6	27	41	22	4	0	0	0
		7	-	5	-	6	0	5	26	41	23	4	0	0	0
26		7	-	6	-	5	0	1	11	34	37	15	2	0	0
		8	-	8	-	2	0	1	11	35	37	14	2	0	0
25		7	-	7	-	4	0	0	3	18	39	31	9	1	0
		6	-	5	-	7	0	0	2	17	39	32	9	1	0
24		7	-	8	-	3		0	0	5	26	41	23	4	0	0
		6	-	6	-	6		0	0	5	24	41	25	5	0	0
23		6	-	7	-	5		0	0	1	9	32	39	17	2	0
		7	-	9	-	2			0	1	9	33	39	16	2	0
22		6	-	8	-	4			0	0	2	17	39	32	9	1
		5	-	6	-	7			0	0	2	16	39	34	9	1
21		5	-	7	-	6				0	0	5	25	43	23	3
		6	-	9	-	3				0	0	6	27	43	22	3
20		5	-	8	-	5				0	0	1	13	39	38	9
19		5	-	9	-	4					0	0	5	27	47	21
18		4	-	8	-	6						0	1	15	47	36
17		4	-	9	-	5						0	0	7	40	53
16		4	-	10	-	4							0	3	30	67
15		3	-	9	-	6							0	1	20	79
14		3	-	10	-	5							0	0	12	88
13		3	-	11	-	4							0	0	7	93
12		3	-	12	-	3								0	4	96
11		2	-	11	-	5								0	2	98
10		2	-	12	-	4									1	99
9		2	-	13	-	3									0	100
8		1	-	12	-	5									0	100
7		1	-	13	-	4									0	100
0	-6															100

Total:							10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10