St. Louis Blues Playoff Chances 2014 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 57.1%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+3.9+3.8+3.7-0.5-0.7-4.9
+0.8+0.8+0.6-0.2-0.2-0.9
+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.5
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.4*-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*+0.1+0.5
-0.1-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Dallas vs Chicago+0.2*-0.1*-0.3-0.4-0.5*+0.0
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.2*+0.2*+0.1*-0.2*-0.2-0.2
Minnesota vs Colorado*+0.1*-0.1-0.4*-0.3-0.5*+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
120-164In99.6%100980*
1195518-9In99.01000499*
1185418-10In98.010000690*
1175419-9In96.999101,087*
1165319-10In95.398111,432*
1155320-9In94.3971102,121*
1145220-10In90.2962103,002*
1135221-9In86.1943204,110*
1125121-10In81.0925305,480*
1115122-9In74.48965007,446*
1105022-10In65.88497009,625*
1095023-9In56.0781290012,418*
1084923-10In44.672151301015,531*
1074924-9In32.964181601019,478*
1064824-10In23.0552320020024,200*
1054825-9In14.245262513029,064*
1044725-10In7.43529292500034,538*
1034726-9In3.42630324701040,664*
1024626-10100.0%1.3183033611010046,833*
1014627-9100.00.31128321015030053,319*
1004527-10100.00.1625291519140060,313*
994528-999.90.03202319233710066,488*
984428-1099.80.011617222661120072,416*
974429-999.4No1111124251015410078,003*
964329-1098.5No07622221519710083,072*
954330-996.1No0531917192212300086,364*
944230-1091.6No03115112223187100088,845*
934231-983.0No01010622212212410090,754*
924131-1070.6No1073191625198200090,476*
914132-954.8No00411611232414510089,913*
904032-1038.4No0201161826221130087,166*
894033-924.2No0010731324271761084,039*
883933-1013.5No000517192824123080,101*
873833-116.9No000304132529197174,547*
863834-103.0No000101720302612268,396*
853835-91.3No0101413273119562,594*
843735-100.5No000028223327855,594*
833736-90.2No000141532341449,454*
823636-100.1No000021027392143,158*
813637-90.0No0001622412937,392*
803537-100.0No0000317413831,449*
793437-11OutNo00212394826,545*
783438-10OutNo018355722,062*
773338-11OutNo004296617,731*
763339-10OutNo003247314,032*
753340-9OutNo02198011,388*
743240-10OutNo114858,911*
733241-9OutNo0010896,799*
723141-10OutNo08925,129*
713041-11OutNo06943,868*
703042-10OutNo04962,920*
692942-11OutNo3972,129*
682943-10OutNo2981,517*
672944-9OutNo1991,017*
662844-10OutNo199737*
652744-11OutNo0100547*
0-64OutNo1001,157*
Total:57.1%3.3%777777777777771,919,540

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.9-0.8-0.8+0.1+0.2+1.1
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.1+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.1
Arizona vs Winnipeg-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Minnesota vs Colorado*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
Dallas vs Chicago*-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0
Detroit vs Boston*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
127-164100
1265814-10928
121-125100
1205517-10991
1195518-99910
1185418-1098200
1175419-997210
1165319-1095311
1155320-9943110
1145220-10906210
1135221-9868320
1125121-108111530
1115122-9741460500
1105022-106618907000
1095023-956221209000
1084923-104527140130010
1074924-93331171161010
1064824-10233221219200200
1054825-9143022422310300
1044725-107282362362050000
1034726-93222192294070010
1024626-10117171319146010101000
1014627-90111315141810113203000
1004527-1006817820132154104000
994528-90351642015415830701000
984428-10012141161481213501012000
974429-9111001011128179112340100
964329-100070671541812312771100
954330-900503315116136101210231000
944230-100031113011101161712562000
934231-9001011006715318101210510000
924131-100100603316116618121052000
914132-90004011140112219141273100000
904032-100020011061185121615941000
894033-90001007030122613181712520000
883933-100000510702714202014721000
873833-110000300400271421221683100
863834-10000101000271522231783100
853835-9010100027152224178300
843735-10000000012716242416720
833736-90000001391826241551
823636-100000001410212823112
813637-90000015142630195
803537-1000000282132279
793437-11001414303517
783438-100028244026
773338-11014174137
763339-10002123847
753340-90183457
743240-100052867
733241-9032275
723141-10021781
713041-1111287
703042-100990
692942-110793
682943-10595
672944-90397
662844-10397
652744-11199
642846-8199
0-63100
Total:343434343434343522333333333333