San Jose Sharks Playoff Chances 2014

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 57.1%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Los Angeles vs San Jose-4.6-0.5-0.4+3.9+4.4+5.0
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.7+0.8+0.9
-0.5-0.1-0.0+0.4+0.4+0.5
Calgary vs Vancouver+0.1-0.4-0.3*-0.1-0.5*+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.4*-0.0*+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.4
+0.0*+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.2*-0.3-0.3*+0.0*-0.1+0.4
Nashville vs Ottawa-0.2*-0.2*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.3
Arizona vs Winnipeg*-0.0*-0.1-0.3*-0.2*-0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
121-164InYes1001,255*
1205618-8In99.1%10000559*
1195518-9In99.3100890*
1185418-10In98.799001,375*
1175419-9In97.499101,959*
1165420-8In96.399112,869*
1155320-9In94.298213,988*
1145220-10In91.6972105,665*
1135221-9In87.1943307,747*
1125121-10In81.89253010,696*
1115122-9In74.689750014,094*
1105022-10In67.185870018,469*
1095023-9In57.47911900023,726*
1084923-10In46.573141201030,646*
1074924-9In35.365181601038,136*
1064824-10In24.256222002047,028*
1054825-9In14.9462624130057,399*
1044725-10In8.33628292500068,281*
1034726-9100.0%3.827303247010081,089*
1024626-10In1.419303361101093,729*
1014627-9100.00.412283210150200107,112*
1004527-10100.00.17252914191400119,968*
994528-9100.00.032023192337100133,520*
984428-1099.80.02161722265112000146,341*
974429-999.5No111112325915400156,967*
964329-1098.6No0862222141971000166,637*
954330-996.3No05319171922123000174,374*
944230-1091.5No031141122231871000179,724*
934231-982.9No010106222122124100182,581*
924131-1070.5No1073191625198200183,827*
914132-954.4No004115112324155100180,911*
904032-1038.1No002011618262211300177,004*
894033-923.6No00107312242717710169,432*
883933-1013.0No0004171928241330159,923*
873934-96.5No0002041225291971149,555*
863834-102.9No001017193027122137,262*
853734-111.2No01014132732195125,265*
843735-100.4No0000282133279112,569*
833736-90.2No000141532341498,620*
823636-100.0No00021027392285,801*
813637-90.0No0001622413173,966*
803537-100.0No000316414062,294*
793437-11OutNo00111384952,148*
783438-10OutNo0017345943,323*
773338-11OutNo005286734,762*
763339-10OutNo003237427,844*
753340-90.0No001188022,046*
743240-10OutNo01148617,101*
733140-11OutNo00109013,032*
723141-10OutNo08929,723*
713142-9OutNo06947,271*
703042-10OutNo04965,499*
692942-11OutNo3973,933*
682943-10OutNo2982,717*
672944-9OutNo1991,975*
662844-10OutNo1991,407*
652845-9OutNo100920*
642745-10OutNo0100638*
632746-9OutNo0100429*
0-62OutNo1001,059*
Total:57.1%3.3%777777777777773,839,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Los Angeles vs San Jose+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.8-0.9-1.1
Calgary vs Vancouver-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Arizona vs Winnipeg+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
Edmonton vs Calgary-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0*-0.0
Dallas vs Chicago*-0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
121-164100
1205618-899100
1195518-9991
1185418-1099100
1175419-997210
1165420-896211
1155320-994321
1145220-10925210
1135221-9877330
1125121-1082105300
1115122-97514705000
1105022-106718807000
1095023-9572211090000
1084923-104726140120010
1074924-93529181151010
1064824-102432202191020
1054825-9153122322313000
1044725-108282362352050000
1034726-942321923940700100
1024626-1011718121914601010100
1014627-90111315141891132002000
1004527-1007817821132154104000
994528-90351642015415830701000
984428-10022141161481313509120000
974429-911100111112817911234000
964329-1000706715418122127711000
954330-90040341511613610121023100
944230-100031113011101161712662000
934231-9001001006715318101210520000
924131-100100603316115618121052000
914132-9000401114011221914127310000
904032-10000200110611851216159410000
894033-90001007030121613181812620000
883933-1000004010702614202014731000
873934-900002004002614212216831000
863834-10000101000261421231793100
853734-1100101000026142224189300
843735-10000000002715232517820
833736-9000001281726251551
823636-100000001310212824112
813637-90000015132631195
803537-1000002720322811
793437-11001313293618
783438-100017234027
773338-11004174038
763339-10002123749
753340-9000173359
743240-10042769
733140-11022276
723141-10011782
713142-9011287
703042-100991
692942-110694
682943-100496
672944-90298
662844-10298
652845-9199
642745-10199
632746-9199
59-62100
582448-10398
0-57100
Total:343434343434343522333333333333