Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Ottawa Senators Playoff Chances 2014

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Nashville vs Ottawa-4.4*-0.2-0.3+4.2+4.5+4.6
-0.8-0.2-0.1+0.8+0.9+0.9
-0.5-0.0-0.0+0.5+0.5+0.5
Buffalo vs Columbus*-0.1-0.4-0.3*+0.0*-0.0+0.3
Tampa Bay vs Florida*+0.0*-0.2-0.4*-0.2-0.4+0.2
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+0.2*-0.1*+0.1-0.4*-0.2-0.2
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.2*+0.1*-0.1+0.3*+0.1+0.2
Washington vs Montreal+0.2*-0.1*-0.2*-0.2*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Ottawa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
124-164InYes100526*
1235716-9In98.6%991144*
1225717-8In99.61000224*
120-121In99.6100959*
1195518-9In98.49900873*
1185418-10In98.199001,295*
1175419-9In97.299011,948*
1165420-8In95.598112,863*
1155320-9In94.097214,151*
1145321-8In91.3962205,590*
1135221-9In87.2943307,835*
1125121-10In81.79154010,403*
1115122-9In74.98776014,038*
1105022-10In67.583980018,722*
1095023-9In56.976131100023,825*
1084923-10In46.2691615010030,367*
1074924-9In34.5602018010038,529*
1064824-10In24.2512323120047,281*
1054825-9In15.34126271400057,329*
1044725-10In8.23129303601068,689*
1034726-9100.0%3.7213033510010080,709*
1024626-10100.01.4142932914020092,927*
1014627-9100.00.48263013181400106,553*
1004527-1099.90.142224172227100120,518*
994528-999.80.02171821255112000133,441*
984428-1099.30.01121123259154100145,658*
974429-998.2No086222114198200157,235*
964329-1095.1No053181618221341000167,076*
954330-989.0No031141021221882000175,046*
944230-1078.4No010952119231461000180,287*
934231-963.1No0106218132321114100183,311*
924131-1045.1No003113819241893100183,134*
914132-928.1No0020941323241672000181,452*
904032-1015.3No010527182523135100176,033*
894033-97.1No0003131122262110300169,052*
883933-103.0No000101615252617710160,226*
873833-111.2No00100291927241340149,141*
863834-100.4No00000141224292081138,023*
853734-110.1No0000027182927143125,179*
843735-100.0No000013122532216112,611*
833736-90.0No0000171933291098,815*
823636-100.0No000031330361785,542*
813637-9OutNo002825402573,530*
803537-10OutNo01520413462,633*
793437-11OutNo00214404452,327*
783438-10OutNo0019365442,820*
773439-9OutNo006316334,917*
763339-10OutNo003267027,975*
753340-9OutNo02207721,983*
743240-10OutNo01168316,871*
733140-11OutNo01128812,919*
723141-10OutNo09919,825*
713142-9OutNo06947,200*
703042-10OutNo05955,462*
693043-9OutNo3973,949*
682943-10OutNo2982,787*
672944-9OutNo01991,902*
662844-10OutNo1991,437*
652845-9OutNo199923*
642745-10OutNo0100601*
632645-11OutNo0100394*
0-62OutNo1001,065*
Total:50.0%3.3%66666666666666663,839,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Philadelphia+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Toronto vs Montreal-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1*-0.0
Calgary vs Vancouver*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.9+0.1+0.1-0.9-1.0-1.0
Buffalo vs Columbus+0.0+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1
Washington vs Montreal-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Florida*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1-0.0
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
124-164100
1235716-99911
1225717-81000
1215617-9100
1205618-8991
1195518-998100
1185418-1098100
1175419-997201
1165420-895211
1155320-994321
1145321-8915220
1135221-9877330
1125121-1082950400
1115122-9751270600
1105022-106715908000
1095023-95719130110000
1084923-1046221601400100
1074924-934261911810100
1064824-10242622221112000
1054825-91525243252140000
1044725-108232452643060010
1034726-94182272585010001000
1024626-10112191021118013102000
1014627-9081412151412017114000
1004527-10049139151611932070100
994528-9025124141831965010020000
984428-100121011017615109014140100
974429-90170613991213117280200
964329-100050381141216217512041000
954330-9003014101916513917182000
944230-100010180512881118414610000
934231-90010050281031015819125100
924131-1000003014101781119191141000
914132-900020017043101422191141000
904032-100010050117716232012510000
894033-900000301032817232113620000
883933-1000001000103816222215731000
873833-11000100000271522231683100
863834-1000000001271522231793100
853734-11000000127152224189300
843735-1000000012715242517820
833736-9000001281726251551
823636-1000001310202824112
813637-900015132630205
803537-100002720322811
793437-110001413293618
783438-100028243928
773439-90004174038
763339-10002113849
753340-90173359
743240-100042768
733140-11022276
723141-10011782
713142-911287
703042-1000990
693043-90694
682943-100496
672843-110297
662844-10298
652845-9298
642745-10199
632645-110100
622646-10199
0-61100
Total:333333434342424244444333333333