Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances 2014

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%
0 points   0 0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Boston vs Philadelphia+0.2-0.3*-0.1*-0.2-0.4*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs New Jersey-4.8-0.5-0.3+4.4+4.4+5.1
-0.8-0.1-0.1+0.8+0.8+0.9
-0.5-0.1-0.0+0.5+0.5+0.6
St. Louis vs NY Rangers+0.4*-0.1*+0.0*-0.3-0.4-0.4
+0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim-0.3-0.4*-0.2*+0.2*+0.2+0.4
-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Washington vs Montreal*-0.1-0.3-0.3*-0.2*+0.1+0.2
Nashville vs Ottawa+0.2*-0.1*+0.2-0.3*-0.0-0.2
Buffalo vs Columbus+0.2*-0.1*-0.1-0.3*-0.3*-0.1
Tampa Bay vs Florida+0.1*-0.3-0.4*-0.1*+0.1*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516Count
122-164InYes100899*
1215617-9In99.5%1000372*
1205517-10In99.21000602*
1195518-9In99.110000868*
1185519-8In98.599001,334*
1175419-9In96.498111,923*
1165420-8In96.298112,786*
1155320-9In93.397213,991*
1145220-10In91.1962205,788*
1135221-9In86.5944307,848*
1125121-10In81.39054010,653*
1115122-9In75.687760014,078*
1105022-10In66.8821080018,544*
1095023-9In57.276121100024,146*
1084923-10In46.469161401030,712*
1074924-9In35.360191801038,206*
1064824-10In24.0502423130047,417*
1054825-9In14.84027271400057,656*
1044725-10In8.13029313600067,883*
1034726-9100.0%3.8213033510010080,640*
1024626-10100.01.4142933914020093,382*
1014627-9100.00.482630131814000107,317*
1004527-1099.90.142224172227100120,484*
994528-999.80.02171821255112000132,995*
984428-1099.30.01121223259154100146,137*
974429-998.0No0862221141982000156,750*
964329-1095.1No053181618221341000167,178*
954330-989.1No0311410212218820000174,178*
944230-1078.4No0101052119231461000179,804*
934231-963.0No0106218132321114100183,693*
924131-1045.3No003113819241893100183,149*
914132-928.1No0020941323241672000181,175*
904032-1015.3No010527182523135100176,550*
894033-97.2No0003131122262010300170,075*
883933-103.1No000101615252617710161,328*
873934-91.1No00100291927251340149,260*
863834-100.4No0000141324292081137,042*
853734-110.1No0000027182927143125,133*
843735-100.0No00013122532216111,688*
833635-110.0No0000172033291098,900*
823636-100.0No000131331361786,112*
813637-9OutNo002825402573,678*
803537-10OutNo0001519423462,089*
793437-11OutNo000214404452,028*
783438-10OutNo019365442,945*
773439-9OutNo016326234,488*
763339-10OutNo003257127,675*
753340-9OutNo002207821,883*
743240-10OutNo01158416,949*
733241-9OutNo01128812,950*
723141-10OutNo009919,785*
713041-11OutNo06947,481*
703042-10OutNo04965,357*
692942-11OutNo3973,849*
682943-10OutNo2982,867*
672944-9OutNo1992,012*
662844-10OutNo1991,329*
652744-11OutNo0199923*
642745-10OutNo0100615*
632746-9OutNo199457*
0-62OutNo1001,044*
Total:50.0%3.3%66666666666666663,839,080

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Boston vs Philadelphia-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0
Los Angeles vs San Jose*-0.0*-0.0+0.1-0.0*-0.0*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs New Jersey+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.9-0.9-1.1
St. Louis vs NY Rangers-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs Anaheim+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Washington vs Montreal+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs Columbus-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Tampa Bay vs Florida-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0-0.0*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
122-164100
1215617-99900
1205517-109910
1195518-999100
1185519-899100
1175419-996211
1165420-896211
1155320-993421
1145220-10915220
1135221-9877430
1125121-108195400
1115122-97612706000
1105022-1067151008000
1095023-95719120110000
1084923-104622160140010
1074924-93525191181010
1064824-10242622122113000
1054825-91525243252140000
1044725-108222452653060000
1034726-9417227257501000100
1024626-10112191022118013102000
1014627-90814121614120171140000
1004527-10049139151611932070100
994528-9025124141831965010020000
984428-100121011017615108014140100
974429-901706129912131172802000
964329-100050381141216217512041000
954330-90030141119165139171820000
944230-100010018051288111841462000
934231-900100502710310158191251000
924131-1000003014101781119191141000
914132-9000200180431014222011410000
904032-10001005021771723201251000
894033-9000030103281723211362000
883933-100000100103816222215731000
873934-9000100001271522231683100
863834-100000001271522231793100
853734-110000000127142224189310
843735-100000012715232517820
833635-11000001381726251551
823636-1000001310202824112
813637-900015142630205
803537-100002720322811
793437-110001313293618
783438-100017234028
773439-90014174138
763339-1002123749
753340-900173359
743240-100042769
733241-90022176
723141-10011682
713041-11011188
703042-100991
692942-110694
682943-10496
672944-90298
662844-10298
652744-110199
642745-100100
632746-9199
622646-10100
612546-11199
602547-10100
592548-9298
0-58100
Total:333343434342424244444333333333